{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07","as_of":"2026-10-24T23:28:07.463960Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?\" — \"Ashley Hinson\" leads at 61% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhinsonmarshall/larger-senate-margin-hinson-or-marshall/kxhinsonmarshall-26dec07"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07","ticker":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07","slug":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07","title":"Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T18:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9878.95,"volume_24hr":9878.95,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.567289352416992,"normalized_volume":22.660554885864258,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":9388.95,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ashley Hinson","top_outcome_probability":0.61,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":513.9399999999996,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T20:37:20.447153Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T20:37:20.447153Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T18:17:49.670844Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhinsonmarshall/larger-senate-margin-hinson-or-marshall/kxhinsonmarshall-26dec07","chart_24h":[9365.01,9878.95],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07-AL0","event_id":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07","slug":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07-AL0","question":"Will Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin be larger than Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Ashley Hinson","description":"If Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election minus Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their U.S. Senate race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Hinson Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T18:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-07T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":6852.94,"volume_24hr":6852.94,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":513.9399999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.42061424255371,"normalized_volume":24.285913467407227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T22:38:04.061626Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T22:38:04.061626Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T18:17:49.818881Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhinsonmarshall/larger-senate-margin-hinson-or-marshall/kxhinsonmarshall-26dec07","event_title":"Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07-R-200","event_id":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07","slug":"KXHINSONMARSHALL-26DEC07-R-200","question":"Will Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin be larger than Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Roger Marshall","description":"If Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election minus Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their U.S. Senate race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Hinson Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T18:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-07T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":3026.01,"volume_24hr":3026.01,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.228111267089844,"normalized_volume":19.999643325805664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T22:08:46.780701Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T22:08:46.780701Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T18:17:49.818881Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhinsonmarshall/larger-senate-margin-hinson-or-marshall/kxhinsonmarshall-26dec07","event_title":"Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51,0.51]}]}