{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","ticker":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","title":"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3751.42,"volume_24hr":3751.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.739501953125,"normalized_volume":18.376575469970703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2559.42,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Green Party, ≥3%","top_outcome_probability":0.23,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.23,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":163.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-16T00:45:23.297334Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T00:45:23.297334Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.688359Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholborngreenmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-green-party-margin-of-victory/kxholborngreenmov-26oct08","chart_24h":[300.0,463.0,3751.42],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P3","event_id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 3%?","group_item_title":"Green Party, ≥3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Green Party minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Green Party if Green Party wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Green Party loses. If Green Party wins, the margin will be positive; if Green Party loses, the margin will be negative; if Green Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":163.0,"volume_24hr":163.0,"prob_24h_change":0.23,"volume_24h_change":163.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.088274955749512,"normalized_volume":8.0964937210083,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T23:15:30.789236Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T23:15:30.789236Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholborngreenmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-green-party-margin-of-victory/kxholborngreenmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P6","event_id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 6%?","group_item_title":"Green Party, ≥6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Green Party minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Green Party if Green Party wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Green Party loses. If Green Party wins, the margin will be positive; if Green Party loses, the margin will be negative; if Green Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":3438.42,"volume_24hr":3438.42,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":3438.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.72020149230957,"normalized_volume":20.642127990722656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T02:56:23.965045Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T02:56:23.965045Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholborngreenmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-green-party-margin-of-victory/kxholborngreenmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P9","event_id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 9%?","group_item_title":"Green Party, ≥9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Green Party minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Green Party if Green Party wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Green Party loses. If Green Party wins, the margin will be positive; if Green Party loses, the margin will be negative; if Green Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":150.0,"volume_24hr":150.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":150.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.76418399810791,"normalized_volume":7.836390018463135,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T14:33:32.187982Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T14:33:32.187982Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholborngreenmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-green-party-margin-of-victory/kxholborngreenmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P12","event_id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 12%?","group_item_title":"Green Party, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Green Party minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Green Party if Green Party wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Green Party loses. If Green Party wins, the margin will be positive; if Green Party loses, the margin will be negative; if Green Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T05:03:25.277676Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T05:03:25.277676Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholborngreenmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-green-party-margin-of-victory/kxholborngreenmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P15","event_id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Green Party, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Green Party minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Green Party if Green Party wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Green Party loses. If Green Party wins, the margin will be positive; if Green Party loses, the margin will be negative; if Green Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T04:48:18.933487Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T04:48:18.933487Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholborngreenmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-green-party-margin-of-victory/kxholborngreenmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P18","event_id":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08-GRN-P18","question":"Will the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 18%?","group_item_title":"Green Party, ≥18%","description":"If the margin of victory for Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Green Party minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Green Party if Green Party wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Green Party loses. If Green Party wins, the margin will be positive; if Green Party loses, the margin will be negative; if Green Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T03:10:56.158030Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T03:10:56.158030Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholborngreenmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-green-party-margin-of-victory/kxholborngreenmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOLBORNGREENMOV-26OCT08","as_of":"2026-09-16T03:28:08.080470Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?\" — top market at 16% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}