{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","ticker":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.405162811279297,"normalized_volume":3.976837396621704,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":45.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Labour, ≥15%","top_outcome_probability":0.17,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.17,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":45.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T23:45:15.781083Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T23:45:15.781083Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.688359Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","chart_24h":[5.0,45.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P15","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":45.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":0.17,"volume_24h_change":45.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.693947792053223,"normalized_volume":4.563192367553711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T23:45:16.230431Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T23:45:16.230431Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P10","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 10%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P20","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 20%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P25","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P25","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 25%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 25%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P30","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P30","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 30%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥30%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T23:45:16.230431Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T23:45:16.230431Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P35","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P35","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 35%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥35%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 35%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T09:34:51.808246Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T09:34:51.808246Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P40","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P40","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 40%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥40%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 40%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T11:48:35.351272Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P5","event_id":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","slug":"KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08-LAB-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election be at least 5%?","group_item_title":"Labour, ≥5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Labour in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Labour minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Labour if Labour wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Labour loses. If Labour wins, the margin will be positive; if Labour loses, the margin will be negative; if Labour ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nNo rounding is applied. Each threshold includes its lower bound and the maximum possible margin of 100 percentage points.\n\nAn exact tie for first that remains unresolved by expiration receives the proportional payout specified in the full rules for every range containing zero; other ranges resolve No. Certified results, the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, and accelerated resolution apply as specified in the full rules.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:40:40.369227Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:40:40.369227Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T21:08:38.850147Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholbornlabmov/holborn-and-st-pancras-labour-margin-of-victory/kxholbornlabmov-26oct08","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOLBORNLABMOV-26OCT08","as_of":"2026-09-16T03:52:24.408120Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?\" — top market at 17% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}