{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","as_of":"2026-10-17T08:07:58.390280Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US retail jobs added this holiday season\" — 7 markets; highest \"Above 350,000 jobs\" at 85% as of 2026-10-17 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","ticker":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8688.71,"volume_24hr":5251.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.026323318481445,"normalized_volume":22.08687400817871,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":819.01,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 350,000 jobs","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.16000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1622.62,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T06:39:45.113139Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T06:39:45.113139Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.241449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","chart_24h":[364.98,0.0,1135.96,1972.1,2794.58,4889.89,5251.24],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T350000","event_id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T350000","question":"Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 350,000?","group_item_title":"Above 350,000 jobs","description":"If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 350,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).\n\nThe expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.\n\nThe measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.49999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":2023.62,"volume_24hr":1687.62,"prob_24h_change":0.16000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":1622.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.103008270263672,"normalized_volume":18.04291534423828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.469529Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","event_title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","chart_24h":[0.69,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T300000","event_id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T300000","question":"Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 300,000?","group_item_title":"Above 300,000 jobs","description":"If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).\n\nThe expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.\n\nThe measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":962.92,"volume_24hr":728.92,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":728.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.60846519470215,"normalized_volume":14.696717262268066,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.469529Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","event_title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","chart_24h":[0.74,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T550000","event_id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T550000","question":"Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 550,000?","group_item_title":"Above 550,000 jobs","description":"If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 550,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).\n\nThe expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.\n\nThe measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":1196.1,"volume_24hr":1196.1,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":1196.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.194522857666016,"normalized_volume":15.638129234313965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.469529Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","event_title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T600000","event_id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T600000","question":"Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 600,000?","group_item_title":"Above 600,000 jobs","description":"If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 600,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).\n\nThe expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.\n\nThe measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":1704.58,"volume_24hr":1638.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1572.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.93603515625,"normalized_volume":17.23927879333496,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.469529Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","event_title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","chart_24h":[0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T400000","event_id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T400000","question":"Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 400,000?","group_item_title":"Above 400,000 jobs","description":"If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 400,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).\n\nThe expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.\n\nThe measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":2339.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.73565673828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T08:07:41.321025Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.469529Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","event_title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","chart_24h":[0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T500000","event_id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T500000","question":"Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 500,000?","group_item_title":"Above 500,000 jobs","description":"If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 500,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).\n\nThe expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.\n\nThe measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":362.48,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-362.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.820658683776855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T07:52:42.910532Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T07:52:42.910532Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.469529Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","event_title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T450000","event_id":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08","slug":"KXHOLIDAYRETAIL-27JAN08-T450000","question":"Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 450,000?","group_item_title":"Above 450,000 jobs","description":"If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 450,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).\n\nThe expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.\n\nThe measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-08T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T07:08:32.370675Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T07:08:32.370675Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T23:07:11.469529Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxholidayretail/us-retail-jobs-added-this-holiday-season/kxholidayretail-27jan08","event_title":"US retail jobs added this holiday season","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]}]}