{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","ticker":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","slug":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","title":"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1595.09,"volume_24hr":1591.09,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.55767822265625,"normalized_volume":12.154775619506836,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1204.23,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 5","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:47:59.816007Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:47:59.816007Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T15:02:09.410096Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhormuzpeak/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-727-82/kxhormuzpeak-26aug02","chart_24h":[699.87,755.09,1149.11,1145.11,1254.19],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T10","event_id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","slug":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T10","question":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 10","description":"If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41000000000000003],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":51.51,"volume_24hr":51.51,"prob_24h_change":0.59,"volume_24h_change":51.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.996086120605469,"normalized_volume":4.083154678344727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","Oman"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:49:37.216576Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:48:00.059608Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T15:02:09.765045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhormuzpeak/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-727-82/kxhormuzpeak-26aug02","event_title":"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T15","event_id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","slug":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T15","question":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 15 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 15","description":"If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":367.33,"volume_24hr":367.33,"prob_24h_change":0.39,"volume_24h_change":367.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.34388542175293,"normalized_volume":9.086785316467285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","Oman"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:35:49.105860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:34:22.633662Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T15:02:09.765045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhormuzpeak/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-727-82/kxhormuzpeak-26aug02","event_title":"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T20","event_id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","slug":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T20","question":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 20 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 20","description":"If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":314.26,"volume_24hr":313.26,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":312.26,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.63648796081543,"normalized_volume":8.614580154418945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","Oman"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:48:00.059608Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:48:00.059608Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T15:02:09.765045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhormuzpeak/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-727-82/kxhormuzpeak-26aug02","event_title":"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T25","event_id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","slug":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T25","question":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 25 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 25","description":"If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":356.65,"volume_24hr":355.65,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":354.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.198741912841797,"normalized_volume":8.996513366699219,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","Oman"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:35:49.105860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:34:22.633662Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T15:02:09.765045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhormuzpeak/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-727-82/kxhormuzpeak-26aug02","event_title":"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T30","event_id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","slug":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T30","question":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 30 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 30","description":"If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":504.34,"volume_24hr":503.34,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":502.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.801031112670898,"normalized_volume":10.085474967956543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","Oman"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:20:51.614221Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:19:25.149437Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T15:02:09.765045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhormuzpeak/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-727-82/kxhormuzpeak-26aug02","event_title":"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T5","event_id":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","slug":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T5","question":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 5","description":"If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran","Oman"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T22:48:00.059608Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T22:48:00.059608Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T15:02:09.765045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhormuzpeak/peak-traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-727-82/kxhormuzpeak-26aug02","event_title":"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","as_of":"2026-07-25T22:57:14.148975Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)\" — top market at 8% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}