{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","as_of":"2026-10-10T04:28:13.517772Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?\" — 8 markets; highest \"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez\" at 0% as of 2026-10-09 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","ticker":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.286254Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.286254Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.286254Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-AOCA","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-AOCA","question":"Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":"If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-HJEF","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-HJEF","question":"Will Hakeem Jeffries announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Hakeem Jeffries","description":"If Hakeem Jeffries has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T17:32:41.615826Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T17:32:41.615826Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JNEG","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-JNEG","question":"Will Joe Neguse announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Joe Neguse","description":"If Joe Neguse has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-KCLA","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-KCLA","question":"Will Katherine Clark announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Katherine Clark","description":"If Katherine Clark has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-PAGU","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-PAGU","question":"Will Pete Aguilar announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Pete Aguilar","description":"If Pete Aguilar has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-PJAY","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-PJAY","question":"Will Pramila Jayapal announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Pramila Jayapal","description":"If Pramila Jayapal has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T13:00:14.097602Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-RTLA","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-RTLA","question":"Will Rashida Tlaib announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Rashida Tlaib","description":"If Rashida Tlaib has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:54.292946Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-TLIE","event_id":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26","slug":"KXHOUSEDEMLEADRUN-26-27JAN01-TLIE","question":"Will Ted Lieu announce a run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?","group_item_title":"Ted Lieu","description":"If Ted Lieu has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.\n\nHouse Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T12:31:05.406165Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T12:31:05.406165Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T02:02:16.691593Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhousedemleadrun/120th-congress-who-will-run-for-house-democratic-leader/kxhousedemleadrun-26","event_title":"120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}