{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26","ticker":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26","slug":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26","title":"AR-02 House winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T01:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11495.41,"volume_24hr":64.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.928125381469727,"normalized_volume":23.57923126220703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8002.85,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"French Hill","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T01:34:50.762003Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T01:34:50.762003Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace/ar-02-house-winner/kxhouserace-ar02-26","chart_24h":[0.0,10.0,64.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26-R","event_id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26","slug":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26-R","question":"Will Republican win the House race for AR-02?","group_item_title":"French Hill","description":"If the House member sworn in for AR-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T01:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":2540.12,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":9.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.0734810829162598,"normalized_volume":19.136011123657227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T01:34:51.071956Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T01:34:51.071956Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace/ar-02-house-winner/kxhouserace-ar02-26","event_title":"AR-02 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.83]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26-D","event_id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26","slug":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26-D","question":"Will Democratic win the House race for AR-02?","group_item_title":"Chris Jones","description":"If the House member sworn in for AR-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T01:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":8955.29,"volume_24hr":54.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":54.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.790960311889648,"normalized_volume":25.779399871826172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T01:50:51.200769Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T01:50:51.200769Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace/ar-02-house-winner/kxhouserace-ar02-26","event_title":"AR-02 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26","as_of":"2026-10-02T03:22:00.966793Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"AR-02 House winner?\" — top market at 18% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}