{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26","ticker":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26","slug":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26","title":"AR-04 House winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T01:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4831.08,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.410118103027344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3399.0499999999997,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bruce Westerman","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-30T11:51:35.571052Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T11:51:35.571052Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace/ar-04-house-winner/kxhouserace-ar04-26","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26-R","event_id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26","slug":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26-R","question":"Will Republican win the House race for AR-04?","group_item_title":"Bruce Westerman","description":"If the House member sworn in for AR-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.039000000000000035,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T01:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":3056.17,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.049150466918945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:22:12.032707Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:22:12.032707Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace/ar-04-house-winner/kxhouserace-ar04-26","event_title":"AR-04 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26-D","event_id":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26","slug":"KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26-D","question":"Will Democratic win the House race for AR-04?","group_item_title":"James Russell","description":"If the House member sworn in for AR-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.024,0.976],"probability":0.024,"spread":0.044000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T01:04:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":1774.91,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.427003860473633,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T00:16:13.330195Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T00:16:13.330195Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace/ar-04-house-winner/kxhouserace-ar04-26","event_title":"AR-04 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26","as_of":"2026-10-02T03:22:43.864472Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"AR-04 House winner?\" — top market at 98% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}