{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC","ticker":"KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC","slug":"KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC","title":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":159547.32,"volume_24hr":2782.39,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.127227783203125,"normalized_volume":38.7556037902832,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":53019.73,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.07,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1213.85,"updated_at":"2026-09-28T17:52:54.674386Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T17:52:54.674386Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T17:42:39.606495Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhurpathhawaii/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-hawaii-in-2026/kxhurpathhawaii-26dec","chart_24h":[4006.72,4035.16,3990.65,3027.08,3027.08,3199.81,3280.28,3280.8,4555.75,4545.31,4844.86,4828.98,4503.93,4783.73,4654.86,4577.82,4572.53,4584.27,4572.53,4548.64,3392.59,3377.59,3168.68,3167.58,3355.87,3355.87,3380.87,3037.77,3002.45,2943.74,2735.33,2737.01,2772.18,2788.11,2765.92,2792.87],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC","event_id":"KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC","slug":"KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":159547.32,"volume_24hr":2782.39,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-1213.85,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.526477813720703,"normalized_volume":44.678688049316406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T17:52:58.290264Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T17:52:58.290264Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T17:42:39.792937Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhurpathhawaii/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-hawaii-in-2026/kxhurpathhawaii-26dec","event_title":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC","as_of":"2026-09-28T17:55:58.478045Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}