{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXICELANDREF-26AUG29","ticker":"KXICELANDREF-26AUG29","slug":"KXICELANDREF-26AUG29","title":"Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3384.69,"volume_24hr":36.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.731114387512207,"normalized_volume":18.256542205810547,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2123.06,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.62,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-17.58,"updated_at":"2026-08-17T17:08:08.083970Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T17:08:08.083970Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T21:12:47.024719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxicelandref/iceland-eu-membership-negotiations-referendum/kxicelandref-26aug29","chart_24h":[43.0,48.0,48.0,79.42,36.42],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXICELANDREF-26AUG29-YES","event_id":"KXICELANDREF-26AUG29","slug":"KXICELANDREF-26AUG29-YES","question":"Will Yes win the 2026 Icelandic referendum on resuming European Union membership negotiations?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If Yes wins the 2026 Icelandic referendum on resuming European Union membership negotiations, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements). If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met. Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-29T14:00:00Z","volume":3384.69,"volume_24hr":36.42,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-17.58,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.12319278717041,"normalized_volume":20.562379837036133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Iceland","European Union"],"updated_at":"2026-08-17T18:19:42.804572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-17T18:19:42.804572Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T21:12:47.100743Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxicelandref/iceland-eu-membership-negotiations-referendum/kxicelandref-26aug29","event_title":"Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXICELANDREF-26AUG29","as_of":"2026-08-17T20:01:46.209469Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum\" — top market at 62% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}