{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXILHPIYOY-27FEB26","ticker":"KXILHPIYOY-27FEB26","slug":"KXILHPIYOY-27FEB26","title":"Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-05T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14067.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.58323097229004,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3038.53,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 327.38","top_outcome_probability":0.86,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:05:25.736107Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:05:25.736107Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:24:37.989391Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxilhpiyoy/will-illinois-home-prices-increase-yoy-in-q4-2026/kxilhpiyoy-27feb26","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXILHPIYOY-27FEB26-T327.38","event_id":"KXILHPIYOY-27FEB26","slug":"KXILHPIYOY-27FEB26-T327.38","question":"Will Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 327.38?","group_item_title":"Above 327.38","description":"If the Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 is above \n\n327.38, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the index_sa value for Illinois (IL), year 2026, quarter 4, in FHFA’s quarterly state Purchase-Only House Price Index dataset. The market measures Q4-over-Q4 price change, not an annual average or calendar-year average.\n\nResolution uses the first FHFA publication containing the Q4 2026 value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-05T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-26T14:59:00Z","volume":14067.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.40123176574707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:05:25.868295Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:05:25.868295Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:24:38.729735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxilhpiyoy/will-illinois-home-prices-increase-yoy-in-q4-2026/kxilhpiyoy-27feb26","event_title":"Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXILHPIYOY-27FEB26","as_of":"2026-10-06T10:39:03.098354Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?\" — top market at 86% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}