{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","as_of":"2026-11-05T10:10:26.395631Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?\" — 4 markets; highest \"At least 2\" at 12% as of 2026-11-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindcount/how-many-independents-will-be-elected-to-congress-in-the-midterms/kxindcount-27jan03"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","ticker":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","slug":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","title":"How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2948.01,"volume_24hr":97.72,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.964968681335449,"normalized_volume":16.944303512573242,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1638.24,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 2","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T08:13:11.802345Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T08:13:11.802345Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:10:17.276150Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindcount/how-many-independents-will-be-elected-to-congress-in-the-midterms/kxindcount-27jan03","chart_24h":[212.44,160.08,107.72,102.72,97.72],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL1","event_id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","slug":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL1","question":"Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?","group_item_title":"At least 1","description":"If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.36000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":933.34,"volume_24hr":97.72,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":-17.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.637297630310059,"normalized_volume":13.125582695007324,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:10:17.491753Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindcount/how-many-independents-will-be-elected-to-congress-in-the-midterms/kxindcount-27jan03","event_title":"How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL2","event_id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","slug":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL2","question":"Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?","group_item_title":"At least 2","description":"If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.42000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.890778541564941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:10:17.491753Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindcount/how-many-independents-will-be-elected-to-congress-in-the-midterms/kxindcount-27jan03","event_title":"How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL3","event_id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","slug":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL3","question":"Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?","group_item_title":"At least 3","description":"If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.8099999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1814.66,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.79923152923584,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:10:17.491753Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindcount/how-many-independents-will-be-elected-to-congress-in-the-midterms/kxindcount-27jan03","event_title":"How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL4","event_id":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03","slug":"KXINDCOUNT-27JAN03-AL4","question":"Will the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats be at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress?","group_item_title":"At least 4","description":"If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.00002777804729703348,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T10:04:45.484333Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T16:10:17.491753Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindcount/how-many-independents-will-be-elected-to-congress-in-the-midterms/kxindcount-27jan03","event_title":"How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]}]}