{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINDUS-27JAN01","ticker":"KXINDUS-27JAN01","slug":"KXINDUS-27JAN01","title":"Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5547.03,"volume_24hr":5347.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.098154067993164,"normalized_volume":20.188161849975586,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4927.39,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.16,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4783.39,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T22:11:53.506349Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T22:11:53.506349Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T16:09:55.755256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindus/will-india-resume-the-indus-waters-treaty/kxindus-27jan01","chart_24h":[544.0,5527.39,5327.39],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINDUS-27JAN01-YES","event_id":"KXINDUS-27JAN01","slug":"KXINDUS-27JAN01-YES","question":"Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If India agrees to or announces resumption of the Indus Waters Treaty after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIndia must affirmatively agree to or announce resumption of the Indus Waters Treaty. A third-party ruling or acknowledgment of the treaty's legal status alone does not qualify.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of a previously announced commitment to resume the Treaty\n\nAn affirmative withdrawal of the abeyance decision accompanied by a renewed commitment to Treaty operation qualifies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5547.03,"volume_24hr":5347.03,"prob_24h_change":-0.16,"volume_24h_change":4783.39,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.6323299407959,"normalized_volume":23.11837387084961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T22:11:53.706788Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T22:11:53.706788Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T16:09:55.849320Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxindus/will-india-resume-the-indus-waters-treaty/kxindus-27jan01","event_title":"Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXINDUS-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-09-09T22:12:09.205625Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?\" — top market at 13% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}