{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","as_of":"2026-11-13T16:04:00.211824Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner\" — \"Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%\" leads at 8% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","ticker":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2918.0,"volume_24hr":2918.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.552448272705078,"normalized_volume":16.771339416503906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2911.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.085,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":652.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.375581Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.375581Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.071582Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","chart_24h":[820.0,2911.0,2914.0,2918.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-10-20","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-10-20","question":"Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 10% to 20%?","group_item_title":"Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":652.0,"volume_24hr":652.0,"prob_24h_change":0.085,"volume_24h_change":652.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.047181129455566,"normalized_volume":11.78658676147461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:18:12.815327Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:18:12.815327Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.032,0.031,0.085]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-GE20","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-GE20","question":"Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 20% or above?","group_item_title":"Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":581.0,"volume_24hr":581.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":581.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.552681922912598,"normalized_volume":11.37166690826416,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:18:12.815327Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:18:12.815327Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.028,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-N10-0","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-N10-0","question":"Will a Democrat win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be -10% to 0%?","group_item_title":"Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":329.0,"volume_24hr":329.0,"prob_24h_change":0.065,"volume_24h_change":329.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.24470043182373,"normalized_volume":9.435105323791504,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:18:12.815327Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:18:12.815327Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.06,0.065]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-0-10","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-0-10","question":"Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 0% to 10%?","group_item_title":"Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":273.0,"volume_24hr":273.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":273.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.535077095031738,"normalized_volume":8.839680671691895,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.038,0.038,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-LTN10","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-LTN10","question":"Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be below -10%?","group_item_title":"Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":399.0,"volume_24hr":399.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":399.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.0031099319458,"normalized_volume":10.071465492248535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.022,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-LTN10","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-LTN10","question":"Will a Democrat win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be below -10%?","group_item_title":"Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":263.0,"volume_24hr":263.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":263.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.395978927612305,"normalized_volume":8.722968101501465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-N10-0","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-REP-N10-0","question":"Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be -10% to 0%?","group_item_title":"Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":421.0,"volume_24hr":421.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":421.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.218592643737793,"normalized_volume":10.252269744873047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T13:34:53.453425Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.015,0.015,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-0-10","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-0-10","question":"Will a Democrat win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 0% to 10%?","group_item_title":"Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T09:01:43.327883Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T09:01:43.327883Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-10-20","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-10-20","question":"Will a Democrat win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 10% to 20%?","group_item_title":"Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T09:01:43.327883Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T09:01:43.327883Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-GE20","event_id":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN","slug":"KXINXPARTYCOMBO-30JAN-DEM-GE20","question":"Will a Democrat win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 20% or above?","group_item_title":"Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above","description":"If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX \"between\" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T21:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T09:01:43.327883Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T09:01:43.327883Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T22:32:11.228524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxinxpartycombo/2029-sp-500-change-2028-winner/kxinxpartycombo-30jan","event_title":"2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}