{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01","as_of":"2026-11-11T20:14:21.660999Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?\" — 21% as of 2026-11-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxirerefcall/will-ireland-announce-a-reunification-referendum/kxirerefcall-30jan01"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01","ticker":"KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01","slug":"KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01","title":"Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4822.35,"volume_24hr":5.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0484635829925537,"normalized_volume":18.97193717956543,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1340.11,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-34.51,"updated_at":"2026-11-11T01:22:45.698776Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T01:22:45.698776Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T20:05:04.722360Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxirerefcall/will-ireland-announce-a-reunification-referendum/kxirerefcall-30jan01","chart_24h":[39.51,5.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01-YES","event_id":"KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01","slug":"KXIREREFCALL-30JAN01-YES","question":"Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments\n\nThe referendum must be a national poll in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification. An unequivocal Government of Ireland decision to hold the poll, an official statement recording that decision, a constitutional referendum Bill passed by both Houses of the Oireachtas, or a ministerial polling-day order qualifies. A polling date is not required, and voting may occur after January 1, 2030. Party pledges, consultations, citizens' assemblies, preparatory legislation or research, and general statements of intent do not qualify. A Northern Ireland border-poll announcement alone does not qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.060000000000000026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":4822.35,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-34.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.191733479499817,"normalized_volume":20.181049346923828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ireland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T04:19:00.099711Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T04:19:00.099711Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T20:05:04.853246Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxirerefcall/will-ireland-announce-a-reunification-referendum/kxirerefcall-30jan01","event_title":"Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]}]}