{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN-26OCT","ticker":"KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN-26OCT","slug":"KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN-26OCT","title":"Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1174.4,"volume_24hr":1174.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.842225074768066,"normalized_volume":13.47041130065918,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":825.66,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.19999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1075.41,"updated_at":"2026-10-05T04:10:47.776680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T04:10:47.776680Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T00:43:39.006196Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxirkutskpathogen/will-russia-name-the-pathogen-in-the-irkutsk-pneumonia-case-in-oct-2026/kxirkutskpathogen-26oct","chart_24h":[98.99,98.99,964.99,1165.54,1174.4],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN-26OCT-26NOV01","event_id":"KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN-26OCT","slug":"KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN-26OCT-26NOV01","question":"Will Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If Rospotrebnadzor announces the identification of a specific pathogen as the cause of the fatal pneumonia of an Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute employee before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly an announcement by Rospotrebnadzor, Russia's federal public health agency, including its Irkutsk Oblast office, counts. It must name a specific organism, such as Yersinia pestis or another bacterium, virus or fungus identified by genus or species, as the cause of the employee's pneumonia or death.\n\nA generic description such as \"bacterial,\" \"viral\" or \"undetermined etiology\" does NOT count\nNaming a pathogen as suspected, under investigation or not ruled out does NOT count\nRuling out a pathogen without naming the cause does NOT count","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1174.4,"volume_24hr":1174.4,"prob_24h_change":-0.19999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1075.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.940868377685547,"normalized_volume":15.55750846862793,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T07:19:59.737755Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T07:19:59.737755Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T00:43:39.146064Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxirkutskpathogen/will-russia-name-the-pathogen-in-the-irkutsk-pneumonia-case-in-oct-2026/kxirkutskpathogen-26oct","event_title":"Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN-26OCT","as_of":"2026-10-05T07:25:10.717662Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}