{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIRONMAN","ticker":"KXIRONMAN","slug":"KXIRONMAN","title":"Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27841.98,"volume_24hr":1078.94,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.102508544921875,"normalized_volume":23.404829025268555,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7166.54,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"By Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.38,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":877.23,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:42:19.959633Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T03:42:19.959633Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxironman/marvel-robert-downey-jr-back-as-iron-man-this-year/kxironman","chart_24h":[193.61,181.32,179.73,233.88,250.62,213.47,230.5,336.33,288.35,975.87,962.97,961.97,1113.49,1115.94,1099.74,1081.47,1075.47,1084.39,1086.91,1078.94],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXIRONMAN-27JAN01","event_id":"KXIRONMAN","slug":"KXIRONMAN-27JAN01","question":"Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man by 2027?","group_item_title":"By Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nArchival footage does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":27841.98,"volume_24hr":1078.94,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":877.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.347366333007812,"normalized_volume":27.2586727142334,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:55:36.091154Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T03:55:36.091154Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxironman/marvel-robert-downey-jr-back-as-iron-man-this-year/kxironman","event_title":"Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?","chart_24h":[0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXIRONMAN","as_of":"2026-07-25T04:46:51.725434Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?\" — top market at 38% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}