{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","as_of":"2026-10-15T15:04:50.113724Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?\" — \"None\" leads at 84% across 3 outcomes as of 2026-10-15 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmaj/which-bloc-will-win-a-knesset-majority/kxisraelblocmaj-26oct27"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","ticker":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","slug":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","title":"Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":741.61,"volume_24hr":11.87,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.072512149810791,"normalized_volume":11.739378929138184,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":542.37,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"None","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":11.87,"updated_at":"2026-10-15T14:01:47.666705Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T14:01:47.666705Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T23:42:03.452743Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmaj/which-bloc-will-win-a-knesset-majority/kxisraelblocmaj-26oct27","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27-NONE","event_id":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","slug":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27-NONE","question":"Will neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"None","description":"If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.\n\nEach bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. The None market resolves Yes if each bloc's seat total is 60 or fewer and No if either bloc's total is 61 or more; it does not measure the seats won by lists outside both blocs. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":531.24,"volume_24hr":11.87,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":11.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3311216831207275,"normalized_volume":12.265823364257812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T14:01:47.851164Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T14:01:47.851164Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T23:42:03.962514Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmaj/which-bloc-will-win-a-knesset-majority/kxisraelblocmaj-26oct27","event_title":"Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?","chart_24h":[0.76,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27-BLOCB","event_id":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","slug":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27-BLOCB","question":"Will the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Netanyahu bloc","description":"If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.\n\nEach bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. The None market resolves Yes if each bloc's seat total is 60 or fewer and No if either bloc's total is 61 or more; it does not measure the seats won by lists outside both blocs. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":167.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.182671546936035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:52.619861Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:52.619861Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T23:42:03.962514Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmaj/which-bloc-will-win-a-knesset-majority/kxisraelblocmaj-26oct27","event_title":"Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27-BLOCA","event_id":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27","slug":"KXISRAELBLOCMAJ-26OCT27-BLOCA","question":"Will the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Opposition bloc","description":"If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.\n\nEach bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. The None market resolves Yes if each bloc's seat total is 60 or fewer and No if either bloc's total is 61 or more; it does not measure the seats won by lists outside both blocs. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":42.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.450878620147705,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:52.619861Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:52.619861Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T23:42:03.962514Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmaj/which-bloc-will-win-a-knesset-majority/kxisraelblocmaj-26oct27","event_title":"Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]}]}