{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27","as_of":"2026-10-15T15:05:10.432489Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?\" — \"Opposition bloc\" leads at 45% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmost/which-bloc-will-win-the-most-knesset-seats/kxisraelblocmost-26oct27"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27","ticker":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27","slug":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27","title":"Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.2491085529327393,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":21.38,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Opposition bloc","top_outcome_probability":0.45,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-12T04:32:06.602327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T04:32:06.602327Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T23:42:09.967845Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmost/which-bloc-will-win-the-most-knesset-seats/kxisraelblocmost-26oct27","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27-BLOCA","event_id":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27","slug":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27-BLOCA","question":"Will the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu hold the most seats in the Knesset after the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Opposition bloc","description":"If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No.\n\nThe two blocs are ranked against each other. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel. If both blocs win the same number of seats, both markets resolve to Yes at $0.50.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":31.38,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.764643907546997,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:54.979769Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:54.979769Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T23:42:10.143598Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmost/which-bloc-will-win-the-most-knesset-seats/kxisraelblocmost-26oct27","event_title":"Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27-BLOCB","event_id":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27","slug":"KXISRAELBLOCMOST-26OCT27-BLOCB","question":"Will the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas hold the most seats in the Knesset after the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Netanyahu bloc","description":"If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No.\n\nThe two blocs are ranked against each other. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel. If both blocs win the same number of seats, both markets resolve to Yes at $0.50.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:54.979769Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T14:17:54.979769Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T23:42:10.143598Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelblocmost/which-bloc-will-win-the-most-knesset-seats/kxisraelblocmost-26oct27","event_title":"Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}