{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","ticker":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Dec 23, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.230516Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.230516Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.230516Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-26DEC23","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-26DEC23","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Dec 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 23, 2026","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Dec 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include:\n\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nA formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority\nAn official statement by an authorized minister\nAn official government press release\nA formal declaration during official government proceedings\n\nAnnouncements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-23T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T20:01:32.779136Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T20:01:32.779136Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.393389Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27FEB03","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27FEB03","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Feb 3, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Feb 3, 2027","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include:\n\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nA formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority\nAn official statement by an authorized minister\nAn official government press release\nA formal declaration during official government proceedings\n\nAnnouncements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-03T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T23:41:26.213717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T23:41:26.213717Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.393389Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27JAN20","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27JAN20","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 20, 2027","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include:\n\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nA formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority\nAn official statement by an authorized minister\nAn official government press release\nA formal declaration during official government proceedings\n\nAnnouncements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-27T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-20T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T23:41:26.213717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T23:41:26.213717Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.393389Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","as_of":"2026-09-09T20:50:17.431328Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"When will the Knesset approve a new government?\" — top market at 0% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}