{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","as_of":"2026-10-30T11:28:23.963663Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"When will the Knesset approve a new government?\" — 5 markets; highest \"Before Mar 15, 2027\" at 92% as of 2026-10-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","ticker":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2074.22,"volume_24hr":47.28,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.435802936553955,"normalized_volume":15.600790023803711,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1481.74,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Mar 15, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.92,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":47.28,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T00:14:23.020932Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T00:14:23.020932Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.230516Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","chart_24h":[18.0,50.93,55.17,37.17,43.52,47.14,47.28],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27MAR15","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27MAR15","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Mar 15, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Mar 15, 2027","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence qualifies.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without the Knesset having approved a new government, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.91,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T05:31:40Z","end_date":"2027-03-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-15T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":47.28,"volume_24hr":47.28,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":47.28,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.248124599456787,"normalized_volume":4.679235458374023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T10:29:42.486700Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T10:29:42.486700Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T05:34:21.450872Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27JAN20","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27JAN20","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 20, 2027","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence qualifies.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without the Knesset having approved a new government, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-27T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-20T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":17.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.6006791591644287,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T11:26:58.429213Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T11:26:58.429213Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.393389Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27FEB03","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27FEB03","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Feb 3, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Feb 3, 2027","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence qualifies.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without the Knesset having approved a new government, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.53,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1786.55,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-19.26,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.457448959350586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T05:44:12.982673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T05:44:12.982673Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.393389Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-26DEC23","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-26DEC23","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Dec 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 23, 2026","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Dec 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence qualifies.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without the Knesset having approved a new government, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.5800000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-23T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":223.39,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.12257194519043,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T04:19:31.592369Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T04:19:31.592369Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T19:03:28.393389Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27JAN01","event_id":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03","slug":"KXISRAELCONF-27FEB03-27JAN01","question":"Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted.\n\nFor purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence qualifies.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances\nStatements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nProposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption\nRetraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment\n\nWhere the statutory mandate periods expire without the Knesset having approved a new government, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T05:31:34Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T11:26:58.429213Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T11:26:58.429213Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T05:34:21.450872Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelconf/when-will-the-knesset-approve-a-new-government/kxisraelconf-27feb03","event_title":"When will the Knesset approve a new government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}