{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","ticker":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2479.25,"volume_24hr":2479.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.575342178344727,"normalized_volume":13.65110969543457,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2370.96,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"The Democrats","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.97,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":54.01,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:13:30.470322Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:13:30.470322Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.105392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","chart_24h":[2.0,49.01,764.37,1192.3700000000001,1458.37,2331.27],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-DEM","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-DEM","question":"Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"The Democrats","description":"If a coalition that includes The Democrats make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":54.01,"volume_24hr":54.01,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":54.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.628619194030762,"normalized_volume":4.1796088218688965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:04:59.530538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:04:59.530538Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-HTAA","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-HTAA","question":"Will Hadash–Ta’al be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Hadash–Ta’al","description":"If a coalition that includes Hadash–Ta’al make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":47.01,"volume_24hr":47.01,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":47.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.186014652252197,"normalized_volume":3.900529146194458,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-LIK","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-LIK","question":"Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Likud","description":"If a coalition that includes Likud make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":69.25,"volume_24hr":69.25,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":69.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.462281227111816,"normalized_volume":4.705265998840332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:04:59.530538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:04:59.530538Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-OYEH","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-OYEH","question":"Will Otzma Yehudit be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Otzma Yehudit","description":"If a coalition that includes Otzma Yehudit make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":71.29,"volume_24hr":71.29,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":71.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.563093662261963,"normalized_volume":4.768832206726074,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-TOG","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-TOG","question":"Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Together","description":"If a coalition that includes Together make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":54.01,"volume_24hr":54.01,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":54.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.628619194030762,"normalized_volume":4.1796088218688965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:51:36.770617Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:51:36.770617Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-UTJ","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-UTJ","question":"Will United Torah Judaism be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"United Torah Judaism","description":"If a coalition that includes United Torah Judaism make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":54.01,"volume_24hr":54.01,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":54.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.628619194030762,"normalized_volume":4.1796088218688965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:51:36.770617Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:51:36.770617Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-YAS","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-YAS","question":"Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Yashar","description":"If a coalition that includes Yashar make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":54.01,"volume_24hr":54.01,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":54.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.628619194030762,"normalized_volume":4.1796088218688965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:09:48.974624Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:09:48.974624Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-YIS","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-YIS","question":"Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Yisrael Beiteinu","description":"If a coalition that includes Yisrael Beiteinu make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":54.01,"volume_24hr":54.01,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":54.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.628619194030762,"normalized_volume":4.1796088218688965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:09:48.974624Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:09:48.974624Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-BW","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-BW","question":"Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Blue and White","description":"If a coalition that includes Blue and White make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":90.8,"volume_24hr":90.8,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":90.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.430923461914062,"normalized_volume":5.316033363342285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:48:51.453190Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:46:45.406374Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-RZP","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-RZP","question":"Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Religious Zionist Party","description":"If a coalition that includes Religious Zionist Party make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":994.17,"volume_24hr":994.17,"prob_24h_change":0.34,"volume_24h_change":994.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.66697883605957,"normalized_volume":12.400814056396484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:15:23.152422Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:13:30.579716Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-NOAM","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-NOAM","question":"Will Noam be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Noam","description":"If a coalition that includes Noam make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":765.29,"volume_24hr":765.29,"prob_24h_change":0.33,"volume_24h_change":765.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.2059383392334,"normalized_volume":11.479570388793945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T06:19:00.465466Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T06:19:00.465466Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.33,0.33,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-ROI","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-ROI","question":"Will Foundations of Israel be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Foundations of Israel","description":"If a coalition that includes Foundations of Israel make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":76.22,"volume_24hr":76.22,"prob_24h_change":0.23,"volume_24h_change":76.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.798010349273682,"normalized_volume":4.916956424713135,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:48:51.453190Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:46:45.406374Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-SHA","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-SHA","question":"Will Shas be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Shas","description":"If a coalition that includes Shas make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":60.16,"volume_24hr":60.16,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":58.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.983841419219971,"normalized_volume":4.403590679168701,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-RAAM","event_id":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","slug":"KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-RAAM","question":"Will Ra’am be a part of the next government in Israel?","group_item_title":"Ra’am","description":"If a coalition that includes Ra’am make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.\n\nA party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). \n\nAdditionally,\nA “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).\nIf, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":35.01,"volume_24hr":35.01,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":35.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.301020622253418,"normalized_volume":3.3425049781799316,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T01:23:25.677670Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:10.258058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisraelgovt/who-will-be-a-part-of-the-next-government-of-israel/kxisraelgovt-28jan01","event_title":"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01","as_of":"2026-07-21T16:27:24.494115Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?\" — top market at 34% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}