{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","as_of":"2026-10-20T03:15:51.918776Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?\" — \"Gadi Eisenkot\" leads at 53% across 7 outcomes as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","ticker":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":304.0,"volume_24hr":304.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.597055435180664,"normalized_volume":8.773323059082031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":304.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gadi Eisenkot","top_outcome_probability":0.53,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.53,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":304.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T01:43:17.216380Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T01:43:17.216380Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:13.961983Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","chart_24h":[0.0,110.0,199.0,219.0,304.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-GEIS","event_id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-GEIS","question":"Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Gadi Eisenkot","description":"If the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.\n\nThis market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify.\n\nOnly the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts.\n\nIf the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":304.0,"volume_24hr":304.0,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":304.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.068658828735352,"normalized_volume":10.186354637145996,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T01:43:17.345978Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T01:43:17.345978Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:14.143178Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","event_title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-ALIE","event_id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-ALIE","question":"Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Avigdor Lieberman the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Avigdor Lieberman","description":"If the President of Israel gives Avigdor Lieberman the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.\n\nThis market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify.\n\nOnly the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts.\n\nIf the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:14.143178Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","event_title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-AOHA","event_id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-AOHA","question":"Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Amir Ohana","description":"If the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.\n\nThis market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify.\n\nOnly the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts.\n\nIf the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:14.143178Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","event_title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-BNET","event_id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-BNET","question":"Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Benjamin Netanyahu","description":"If the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.\n\nThis market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify.\n\nOnly the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts.\n\nIf the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T23:51:33.341228Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T23:51:33.341228Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:14.143178Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","event_title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-NBEN","event_id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-NBEN","question":"Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Naftali Bennett","description":"If the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.\n\nThis market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify.\n\nOnly the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts.\n\nIf the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:14.143178Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","event_title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-YGOL","event_id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-YGOL","question":"Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Yair Golan the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Yair Golan","description":"If the President of Israel gives Yair Golan the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.\n\nThis market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify.\n\nOnly the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts.\n\nIf the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:14.143178Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","event_title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-YLAP","event_id":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27","slug":"KXISRFIRSTMANDATE-27-YLAP","question":"Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Yair Lapid the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Yair Lapid","description":"If the President of Israel gives Yair Lapid the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.\n\nThis market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify.\n\nOnly the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts.\n\nIf the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T01:16:25.739869Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T16:12:14.143178Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrfirstmandate/who-will-get-israels-first-mandate-to-form-a-government/kxisrfirstmandate-27","event_title":"Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}