{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","ticker":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","slug":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","title":"How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":631.0,"volume_24hr":111.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.859337329864502,"normalized_volume":9.293001174926758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":516.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 1","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":111.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T16:49:27.918272Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:49:27.918272Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:30.336258Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrnormcount/how-many-new-countries-will-normalize-relations-with-israel-before-2028/kxisrnormcount-27dec31","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL1","event_id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","slug":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL1","question":"Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 1 after Issuance and before 2028?","group_item_title":"At least 1","description":"If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 1 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nExamples of qualifying agreements include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco. \n\nEach country may be counted only once. Countries that have normalized relations with Israel as of Issuance do not qualify. A country whose relations with Israel existed previously but are not in effect as of Issuance may qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T14:59:00Z","volume":613.0,"volume_24hr":111.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":111.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.507229804992676,"normalized_volume":10.726417541503906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T16:51:18.966011Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:49:28.060869Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:30.453271Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrnormcount/how-many-new-countries-will-normalize-relations-with-israel-before-2028/kxisrnormcount-27dec31","event_title":"How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL2","event_id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","slug":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL2","question":"Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 2 after Issuance and before 2028?","group_item_title":"At least 2","description":"If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 2 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nExamples of qualifying agreements include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco. \n\nEach country may be counted only once. Countries that have normalized relations with Israel as of Issuance do not qualify. A country whose relations with Israel existed previously but are not in effect as of Issuance may qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T14:59:00Z","volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9854416251182556,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T22:34:33.519471Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:30.453271Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrnormcount/how-many-new-countries-will-normalize-relations-with-israel-before-2028/kxisrnormcount-27dec31","event_title":"How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL5","event_id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","slug":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL5","question":"Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 5 after Issuance and before 2028?","group_item_title":"At least 5","description":"If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 5 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nExamples of qualifying agreements include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco. \n\nEach country may be counted only once. Countries that have normalized relations with Israel as of Issuance do not qualify. A country whose relations with Israel existed previously but are not in effect as of Issuance may qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T14:59:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.256418228149414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T22:34:33.519471Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:30.453271Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrnormcount/how-many-new-countries-will-normalize-relations-with-israel-before-2028/kxisrnormcount-27dec31","event_title":"How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL3","event_id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","slug":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL3","question":"Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 3 after Issuance and before 2028?","group_item_title":"At least 3","description":"If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 3 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nExamples of qualifying agreements include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco. Each country may be counted only once.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T14:59:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.3141045570373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T19:30:50.670645Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:30.453271Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrnormcount/how-many-new-countries-will-normalize-relations-with-israel-before-2028/kxisrnormcount-27dec31","event_title":"How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL4","event_id":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","slug":"KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL4","question":"Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 4 after Issuance and before 2028?","group_item_title":"At least 4","description":"If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 4 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nExamples of qualifying agreements include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco. \n\nEach country may be counted only once. Countries that have normalized relations with Israel as of Issuance do not qualify. A country whose relations with Israel existed previously but are not in effect as of Issuance may qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T14:59:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.3141045570373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T22:34:33.519471Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T19:07:30.453271Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxisrnormcount/how-many-new-countries-will-normalize-relations-with-israel-before-2028/kxisrnormcount-27dec31","event_title":"How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31","as_of":"2026-07-25T17:27:03.113118Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?\" — top market at 65% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}