{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","ticker":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1050.62,"volume_24hr":485.61,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.693307876586914,"normalized_volume":13.414264678955078,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":960.62,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Giorgia Meloni","top_outcome_probability":0.47,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":50.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-13T07:13:34.539150Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T07:13:34.539150Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.833472Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","chart_24h":[535.0,536.0,960.0,987.0,1017.0,1017.0,1020.61,485.61],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-GMEL","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-GMEL","question":"Will Giorgia Meloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Giorgia Meloni","description":"If Giorgia Meloni becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":55.01,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.349645614624023,"normalized_volume":5.044586658477783,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T02:11:28.100600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T01:51:05.381728Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ESCH","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ESCH","question":"Will Elly Schlein become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Elly Schlein","description":"If Elly Schlein becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":63.61,"volume_24hr":61.61,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":61.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.029367923736572,"normalized_volume":5.408934593200684,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T04:55:11.037050Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T04:51:34.531746Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-GCON","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-GCON","question":"Will Giuseppe Conte become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Giuseppe Conte","description":"If Giuseppe Conte becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":65.0,"volume_24hr":61.0,"prob_24h_change":0.039999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":61.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.996135234832764,"normalized_volume":5.4643168449401855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T02:11:28.100600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T21:16:14.263135Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ADEC","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ADEC","question":"Will Antonio Decaro become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Antonio Decaro","description":"If Antonio Decaro becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":48.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":45.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.02074670791626,"normalized_volume":4.715035438537598,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T01:37:08.898783Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T21:16:14.263135Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ATAN","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ATAN","question":"Will Antonio Tajani become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Antonio Tajani","description":"If Antonio Tajani becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":43.0,"volume_24hr":43.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":43.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.881752967834473,"normalized_volume":4.4578471183776855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T16:28:21.651933Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T16:24:48.578120Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ERUF","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-ERUF","question":"Will Ernesto Maria Ruffini become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Ernesto Maria Ruffini","description":"If Ernesto Maria Ruffini becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":46.0,"volume_24hr":44.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.951818943023682,"normalized_volume":4.614600658416748,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T07:34:54.513848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T21:16:14.263135Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-GMAN","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-GMAN","question":"Will Gaetano Manfredi become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Gaetano Manfredi","description":"If Gaetano Manfredi becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":47.0,"volume_24hr":44.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.951818943023682,"normalized_volume":4.665205955505371,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T07:34:54.513848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T21:16:14.263135Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-PGEN","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-PGEN","question":"Will Paolo Gentiloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Paolo Gentiloni","description":"If Paolo Gentiloni becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":46.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.088576316833496,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T07:34:54.513848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T21:16:14.263135Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-RGUA","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-RGUA","question":"Will Roberto Gualtieri become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Roberto Gualtieri","description":"If Roberto Gualtieri becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":585.0,"volume_24hr":46.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-489.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.088576316833496,"normalized_volume":12.644765853881836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T07:17:25.635917Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T07:13:34.657279Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-SSAL","event_id":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22","slug":"KXITALYPM-27DEC22-SSAL","question":"Will Silvia Salis become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?","group_item_title":"Silvia Salis","description":"If Silvia Salis becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:32:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-22T15:00:00Z","volume":48.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.02074670791626,"normalized_volume":4.715035438537598,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T07:34:54.513848Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T21:16:14.263135Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:34.994044Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalypm/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election/kxitalypm-27dec22","event_title":"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXITALYPM-27DEC22","as_of":"2026-08-13T10:05:53.371799Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?\" — top market at 18% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}