{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYSENATE-27","ticker":"KXITALYSENATE-27","slug":"KXITALYSENATE-27","title":"Italian Senate election winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":506.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.668712615966797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":350.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Brothers of Italy","top_outcome_probability":0.54,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:57.845781Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:57.845781Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalysenate/italian-senate-election-winner/kxitalysenate-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYSENATE-27-FDI","event_id":"KXITALYSENATE-27","slug":"KXITALYSENATE-27-FDI","question":"Who will win the next Italian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Brothers of Italy","description":"If the winner of the next Italian Senate election is Brothers of Italy, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","volume":427.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.55443286895752,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:34.278346Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:34.278346Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalysenate/italian-senate-election-winner/kxitalysenate-27","event_title":"Italian Senate election winner?","chart_24h":[0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYSENATE-27-PD","event_id":"KXITALYSENATE-27","slug":"KXITALYSENATE-27-PD","question":"Who will win the next Italian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Democratic Party","description":"If the winner of the next Italian Senate election is Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4963933229446411,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:34.278346Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:34.278346Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalysenate/italian-senate-election-winner/kxitalysenate-27","event_title":"Italian Senate election winner?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYSENATE-27-M5S","event_id":"KXITALYSENATE-27","slug":"KXITALYSENATE-27-M5S","question":"Who will win the next Italian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Five Star Movement","description":"If the winner of the next Italian Senate election is Five Star Movement, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T19:29:25.299394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalysenate/italian-senate-election-winner/kxitalysenate-27","event_title":"Italian Senate election winner?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYSENATE-27-FORZA","event_id":"KXITALYSENATE-27","slug":"KXITALYSENATE-27-FORZA","question":"Who will win the next Italian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Forza Italia","description":"If the winner of the next Italian Senate election is Forza Italia, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","volume":41.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.635692596435547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T19:29:25.299394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalysenate/italian-senate-election-winner/kxitalysenate-27","event_title":"Italian Senate election winner?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXITALYSENATE-27-LEGA","event_id":"KXITALYSENATE-27","slug":"KXITALYSENATE-27-LEGA","question":"Who will win the next Italian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Lega","description":"If the winner of the next Italian Senate election is Lega, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.048,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-30T15:00:00Z","volume":27.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.8896725177764893,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T00:53:20.532580Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T19:29:25.299394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitalysenate/italian-senate-election-winner/kxitalysenate-27","event_title":"Italian Senate election winner?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXITALYSENATE-27","as_of":"2026-07-25T16:51:08.243862Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Italian Senate election winner?\" — top market at 54% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}