{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01","as_of":"2026-11-10T05:06:40.853902Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot?\" — 7 markets; highest \"At least 8\" at 90% as of 2026-11-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjeffriesdefect/how-many-democrats-wont-back-jeffries-on-the-first-ballot/kxjeffriesdefect-27feb01"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01","ticker":"KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01","slug":"KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01","title":"How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-07T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3127.8199999999997,"volume_24hr":2242.62,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.27610969543457,"normalized_volume":17.10310935974121,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2696.81,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 8","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-10T03:54:13.387912Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T03:54:13.387912Z","added_at":"2026-11-07T06:48:04.582415Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjeffriesdefect/how-many-democrats-wont-back-jeffries-on-the-first-ballot/kxjeffriesdefect-27feb01","chart_24h":[313.95,302.55,295.05,200.4,212.11,257.11,57.11,57.51,57.11,57.11,2242.62],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01-AL5","event_id":"KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01","slug":"KXJEFFRIESDEFECT-27FEB01-AL5","question":"Will at least 5 Democrats vote against Jeffries on the first Speaker ballot?","group_item_title":"At least 5","description":"If the number of Democratic Representatives who vote for a candidate other than Hakeem Jeffries, or vote Present, on the first roll call for Speaker of the House at the opening of the 120th Congress is at least 5 before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Democrat counts if the Clerk records them on the first roll call for Speaker as voting for anyone other than Hakeem Jeffries, or as Present. Not Voting does NOT count. 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Not Voting does NOT count. 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Not Voting does NOT count. 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Not Voting does NOT count. If no roll call for Speaker is held before Feb 1, 2027, the count is 0.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-07T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T03:38:26.605769Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T03:38:26.605769Z","added_at":"2026-11-07T06:48:04.825353Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjeffriesdefect/how-many-democrats-wont-back-jeffries-on-the-first-ballot/kxjeffriesdefect-27feb01","event_title":"How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}]}