{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXJUDGMENT-BROWNFCC26","ticker":"KXJUDGMENT-BROWNFCC26","slug":"KXJUDGMENT-BROWNFCC26","title":"Will SCOTUS stay the political-ad rates ruling?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.5236332416534424,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":20.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Nov 3, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.77,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-20.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T00:25:24.699496Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T00:25:24.699496Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T03:05:26.527260Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjudgment/will-scotus-stay-the-political-ad-rates-ruling/kxjudgment-brownfcc26","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXJUDGMENT-BROWNFCC26","event_id":"KXJUDGMENT-BROWNFCC26","slug":"KXJUDGMENT-BROWNFCC26","question":"Will SCOTUS stay the political-ad rates ruling?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 3, 2026","description":"If the U.S. Supreme Court grants the application to stay the Fourth Circuit's August 25, 2026 judgment in Brown v. FCC, No. 26-1785 in National Republican Congressional Committee, et al. v. Sherrod Brown, et al., No. 26A274 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe ruling must:\nBe issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in National Republican Congressional Committee, et al. v. Sherrod Brown, et al., No. 26A274\nAddress the matter described by the specified judgment\nBe issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\nA temporary administrative stay entered only to permit briefing or consideration of the application\nA grant or denial of certiorari that does not itself stay the Fourth Circuit's August 25, 2026 judgment\nOral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order\nTentative rulings that are not made final\nDraft opinions that leak but are not officially issued\nSettlements or voluntary dismissals\nAdministrative or scheduling orders\nOrders to show cause\nMinute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment\nAction by the FCC, Congress, or another court that does not include the specified Supreme Court stay\n\nFor clarity:\nA stay pending certiorari, or another order expressly granting the application to stay the identified Fourth Circuit judgment, qualifies\nPartial relief qualifies only if it stays the portion of that judgment blocking the applicants from receiving the favorable advertising-rate treatment at issue\nPer curiam opinions and summary orders count if they match the specified judgment\nIf multiple justices issue separate opinions, the majority or plurality opinion controls","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.8854777812957764,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T00:25:24.823000Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T00:25:24.823000Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T03:05:26.610129Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjudgment/will-scotus-stay-the-political-ad-rates-ruling/kxjudgment-brownfcc26","event_title":"Will SCOTUS stay the political-ad rates ruling?","chart_24h":[0.77,0.77,0.77]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXJUDGMENT-BROWNFCC26","as_of":"2026-09-04T15:44:14.434637Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will SCOTUS stay the political-ad rates ruling?\" — top market at 77% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}