{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","as_of":"2026-10-14T20:52:41.874706Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the court extend its block on DHS's Trump ads?\" — resolved YES (closed 2026-10-14). https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjudgment/will-the-court-extend-its-block-on-dhss-trump-ads/kxjudgment-dhsads26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","ticker":"KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","slug":"KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","title":"Will the court extend its block on DHS's Trump ads?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-14T19:31:04Z","volume":7353.08,"volume_24hr":7249.14,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.39695930480957,"normalized_volume":21.306228637695312,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6525.08,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Oct 26, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7220.14,"updated_at":"2026-10-14T19:39:08.911278Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T19:39:08.911278Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T16:03:49.311706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjudgment/will-the-court-extend-its-block-on-dhss-trump-ads/kxjudgment-dhsads26","chart_24h":[29.0,56.0,118.92,5579.06,7249.14],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","event_id":"KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","slug":"KXJUDGMENT-DHSADS26","question":"Will the court extend its block on DHS's Trump ads?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 26, 2026","description":"If the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York extends the October 11, 2026 temporary restraining order and Section 705 stay, or replaces it with a preliminary injunction or stay, so that DHS funds remain barred from paying for the challenged advertisements after October 25, 2026, in Common Cause v. Department of Homeland Security, No. 1:26-cv-08882 (S.D.N.Y.) before Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe ruling must:\nBe issued by the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York in Common Cause v. Department of Homeland Security, No. 1:26-cv-08882 (S.D.N.Y.)\nAddress the matter described by the specified judgment\nBe issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision\n\nAn order extending the October 11 order is a ruling on the substantive relief, not an administrative or scheduling order. It counts however short the extension, including one the parties agree to and the court enters as an order, and it counts if issued by any judge of the court. A written order that replaces the October 11 order with a preliminary injunction or Section 705 stay counts if the bar on using DHS funds for the challenged advertisements continues after October 25, 2026. Partial continuation counts. A qualifying order counts when issued, even if it is later stayed, vacated, or reversed.\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\nThe October 11 order expiring or being dissolved, or the case being dismissed or mooted\nA scheduling order, conference notice, or briefing order that does not itself continue the order in force\nAn order of the Second Circuit or any court other than the Southern District of New York, or a ruling in the DNC's separate case in the District of Columbia\nA decision by DHS or the White House to stop or pay for the advertisements, or an agreement not entered as a court order\nOral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order\nTentative rulings that are not made final\nDraft opinions that leak but are not officially issued\nSettlements or voluntary dismissals\nOrders to show cause\n\nFor clarity:\nSua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment\nIf multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-14T19:31:04Z","result":"yes","volume":7353.08,"volume_24hr":7249.14,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":7220.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.20038604736328,"normalized_volume":24.674772262573242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T19:39:08.917766Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T19:39:08.917766Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T16:03:49.425469Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjudgment/will-the-court-extend-its-block-on-dhss-trump-ads/kxjudgment-dhsads26","event_title":"Will the court extend its block on DHS's Trump ads?","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]}]}