{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","ticker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","slug":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","title":"Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-25T20:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":104084.62,"volume_24hr":505.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.380229949951172,"normalized_volume":35.14353561401367,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":30552.99,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bank of America","top_outcome_probability":0.43,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-83.45,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:03:20.705232Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:03:20.705232Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkrakenbankpublic/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027/kxkrakenbankpublic-27jan01","chart_24h":[1082.7,83.7,588.7,505.25],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-MS","event_id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","slug":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-MS","question":"Will Morgan Stanley take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Morgan Stanley","description":"If Morgan Stanley serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-25T20:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":19312.16,"volume_24hr":0.25,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0196307972073555,"normalized_volume":29.850831985473633,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:07:45.553431Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:33.118940Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkrakenbankpublic/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027/kxkrakenbankpublic-27jan01","event_title":"Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITI","event_id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","slug":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITI","question":"Will Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Citigroup","description":"If Citigroup serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-25T20:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":30459.67,"volume_24hr":505.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-494.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.284891128540039,"normalized_volume":32.6710090637207,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:07:45.553431Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:33.118940Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkrakenbankpublic/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027/kxkrakenbankpublic-27jan01","event_title":"Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-BOA","event_id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","slug":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-BOA","question":"Will Bank of America take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Bank of America","description":"If Bank of America serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-25T20:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":13733.75,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-83.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.824359893798828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:04:30.593297Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:03:20.895256Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkrakenbankpublic/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027/kxkrakenbankpublic-27jan01","event_title":"Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-GS","event_id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","slug":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-GS","question":"Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Goldman Sachs","description":"If Goldman Sachs serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-25T20:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":25826.91,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.63518714904785,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:36:58.690378Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:36:58.690378Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkrakenbankpublic/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027/kxkrakenbankpublic-27jan01","event_title":"Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPM","event_id":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","slug":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPM","question":"Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"JPMorgan Chase","description":"If JPMorgan Chase serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-25T20:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":14752.13,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.243694305419922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T06:04:43.069716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkrakenbankpublic/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027/kxkrakenbankpublic-27jan01","event_title":"Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:26:12.394137Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?\" — top market at 41% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}