{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","ticker":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","title":"Los Angeles Mayor Primary: who will outperform the polls?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23580.05,"volume_24hr":3330.27,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.047887802124023,"normalized_volume":26.472305297851562,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11267.68,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Karen Bass","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T02:01:21.795053Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T02:01:21.795053Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.657101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlamayoroutperform/los-angeles-mayor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxlamayoroutperform-26jun02","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-KBAS","event_id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-KBAS","question":"Will Karen Bass outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?","group_item_title":"Karen Bass","description":"If Karen Bass's realized result in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe Los Angeles Mayor primary polling average are: Karen Bass 27.7%, Spencer Pratt 22.1%, Nithya Raman 21.9%, Adam Miller 6.5%, Rae Huang 6.5%.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":10228.51,"volume_24hr":2686.74,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.08503532409668,"normalized_volume":24.821880340576172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T05:21:50.450315Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T02:01:22.057808Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlamayoroutperform/los-angeles-mayor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxlamayoroutperform-26jun02","event_title":"Los Angeles Mayor Primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-NRAM","event_id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-NRAM","question":"Will Nithya Raman outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?","group_item_title":"Nithya Raman","description":"If Nithya Raman's realized result in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe Los Angeles Mayor primary polling average are: Karen Bass 27.7%, Spencer Pratt 22.1%, Nithya Raman 21.9%, Adam Miller 6.5%, Rae Huang 6.5%.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":4987.0,"volume_24hr":608.75,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.566754341125488,"normalized_volume":21.110275268554688,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T07:16:12.743986Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T02:01:22.057808Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlamayoroutperform/los-angeles-mayor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxlamayoroutperform-26jun02","event_title":"Los Angeles Mayor Primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-SPRA","event_id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-SPRA","question":"Will Spencer Pratt outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?","group_item_title":"Spencer Pratt","description":"If Spencer Pratt's realized result in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe Los Angeles Mayor primary polling average are: Karen Bass 27.7%, Spencer Pratt 22.1%, Nithya Raman 21.9%, Adam Miller 6.5%, Rae Huang 6.5%.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":8273.4,"volume_24hr":34.78,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":34.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.53279447555542,"normalized_volume":23.694515228271484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T06:11:47.001318Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T06:11:47.001318Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlamayoroutperform/los-angeles-mayor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxlamayoroutperform-26jun02","event_title":"Los Angeles Mayor Primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-AMIL","event_id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-AMIL","question":"Will Adam Miller outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?","group_item_title":"Adam Miller","description":"If Adam Miller's realized result in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe Los Angeles Mayor primary polling average are: Karen Bass 27.7%, Spencer Pratt 22.1%, Nithya Raman 21.9%, Adam Miller 6.5%, Rae Huang 6.5%.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.0908212661743164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-15T14:24:05.216694Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T10:40:15.274169Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlamayoroutperform/los-angeles-mayor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxlamayoroutperform-26jun02","event_title":"Los Angeles Mayor Primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-RHUA","event_id":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02-RHUA","question":"Will Rae Huang outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?","group_item_title":"Rae Huang","description":"If Rae Huang's realized result in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 Los Angeles Mayor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe Los Angeles Mayor primary polling average are: Karen Bass 27.7%, Spencer Pratt 22.1%, Nithya Raman 21.9%, Adam Miller 6.5%, Rae Huang 6.5%.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":66.14,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.152827262878418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-15T14:24:05.216694Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T10:27:42.953083Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlamayoroutperform/los-angeles-mayor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxlamayoroutperform-26jun02","event_title":"Los Angeles Mayor Primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLAMAYOROUTPERFORM-26JUN02","as_of":"2026-06-16T09:25:45.482809Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Los Angeles Mayor Primary: who will outperform the polls?\" — top market at 99% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}