{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","ticker":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11407.9,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.979888916015625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8301.9,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Unity","top_outcome_probability":0.28,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T01:08:06.444576Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T01:08:06.444576Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-JV","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-JV","question":"Will New Unity win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"New Unity","description":"If New Unity wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":2846.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.393634796142578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:20:54.027557Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T11:34:36.151543Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-LPV","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-LPV","question":"Will Latvia First win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"Latvia First","description":"If Latvia First wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":1378.32,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.019481658935547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T19:20:54.027557Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T14:27:55.905159Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-PRO","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-PRO","question":"Will The Progressives win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"The Progressives","description":"If The Progressives wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":1137.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.17850399017334,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T02:43:30.793829Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-NA","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-NA","question":"Will National Alliance win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"National Alliance","description":"If National Alliance wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.05099999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":615.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.64618968963623,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:31:51.393123Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T02:00:44.279288Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-AS","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-AS","question":"Will United List win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"United List","description":"If United List wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.057999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":2311.66,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.391733169555664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:23:54.578558Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:23:54.578558Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-ST","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-ST","question":"Will For Stability! win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"For Stability!","description":"If For Stability! wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4797874689102173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T19:48:00.855607Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-S","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-S","question":"Will Social Democratic Party 'Harmony\" win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"Social Democratic Party \"Harmony\"","description":"If Social Democratic Party \"Harmony\" wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.3699468672275543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T05:45:13.980225Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-ZZS","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-ZZS","question":"Will Union of Greens and Farmers win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"Union of Greens and Farmers","description":"If Union of Greens and Farmers wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":2603.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.95947265625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T01:01:35.899055Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-SV","event_id":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","slug":"KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31-SV","question":"Will Sovereign Power win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections?","group_item_title":"Sovereign Power","description":"If Sovereign Power wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No. If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements. Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified. \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.034999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":506.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.89101505279541,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T01:01:35.899055Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlatviaparliament/who-will-win-the-2026-latvia-parliamentary-election/kxlatviaparliament-26dec31","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?","chart_24h":[0.001,0.001]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLATVIAPARLIAMENT-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:47:45.774402Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?\" — top market at 28% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}