{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07","as_of":"2026-11-05T14:12:47.042987Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Laurier-Sainte-Marie by-election winner?\" — \"Liberal\" leads at 77% across 4 outcomes as of 2026-11-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaurierby/laurier-sainte-marie-by-election-winner/kxlaurierby-26dec07"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07","ticker":"KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07","slug":"KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07","title":"Laurier-Sainte-Marie by-election winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-12-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1686.46,"volume_24hr":520.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.92467975616455,"normalized_volume":14.659076690673828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1606.46,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Liberal","top_outcome_probability":0.77,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-162.46000000000004,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T12:57:16.277849Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T12:57:16.277849Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:38:33.229296Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaurierby/laurier-sainte-marie-by-election-winner/kxlaurierby-26dec07","chart_24h":[612.46,1012.46,401.23,451.23,471.23,521.23,520.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07-LPC","event_id":"KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07","slug":"KXLAURIERBY-26DEC07-LPC","question":"Will the Liberal Party win the next Laurier-Sainte-Marie federal by-election?","group_item_title":"Liberal","description":"If the Liberal Party wins the next Laurier-Sainte-Marie federal by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA party's candidate is the candidate registered with Elections Canada under that party's name, or under a registered party it merges into; an independent or other-party candidate a party backs does not count. 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A candidate registered under a listed party's own name counts only for that party; if a candidate would otherwise count for more than one listed party through a merger, the candidate counts only for the first of them in the order NDP, Liberal, Bloc and Conservative. A general election contest for this seat is not a by-election for this market.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. 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