{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","ticker":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3461569.8899999997,"volume_24hr":15272.289999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.44005012512207,"normalized_volume":57.42763137817383,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1194829.7,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gustavo Petro","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-143.32,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:51.138902Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:51.138902Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","chart_24h":[18148.53,20514.82,20498.35,20857.99,19534.2,19232.2,20130.3,19289.22,18827.8,19455.2,19642.16,18516.58,18516.58,18356.48,18641.58,23844.65,24253.73,24160.45,24191.170000000002,17091.4,16723.36,16631.38,16916.52,17518.93,16361.57,17351.49,17346.68,17218.54,17242.97,19096.4,18826.16,18877.16,18877.16,18475.1,18472.29],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KSTAUK","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KSTAUK","question":"Will Keir Starmer leave Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Keir Starmer","description":"If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.969,0.031000000000000028],"probability":0.969,"spread":0.01200000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":463556.12,"volume_24hr":8365.63,"prob_24h_change":-0.02300000000000002,"volume_24h_change":5174.469999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.473867416381836,"normalized_volume":49.56171798706055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:51.296754Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:51.296754Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.992,0.992,0.988,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.91,0.947,0.947,0.947,0.947,0.965,0.971,0.988,0.962,0.962,0.986,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.979,0.959,0.98,0.985,0.98,0.971,0.971,0.97,0.97,0.969,0.969,0.969,0.969]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR","question":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Benjamin Netanyahu","description":"If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":359843.98,"volume_24hr":2800.12,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1441.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.675416946411133,"normalized_volume":47.656253814697266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:09:46.404416Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T08:08:28.172635Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel has either officially announced their intention to leave as First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba or has actually left First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":602446.96,"volume_24hr":151.61,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-8870.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.894001007080078,"normalized_volume":51.57283020019531,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:06:50.304670Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:05:22.281366Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AVUCPSER","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AVUCPSER","question":"Will Aleksandar Vučić leave President of Serbia before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Aleksandar Vučić","description":"If Aleksandar Vučić has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Serbia or has actually left President of Serbia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":12960.46,"volume_24hr":16.62,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-3.379999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5703837871551514,"normalized_volume":26.110891342163086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:55:40.864739Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:55:40.864739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RKADCHEC","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RKADCHEC","question":"Will Ramzan Kadyrov leave Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Ramzan Kadyrov","description":"If Ramzan Kadyrov has either officially announced their intention to leave as Head of the Chechen Republic or has actually left Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1604.09,"volume_24hr":913.43,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":913.43,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.517062187194824,"normalized_volume":15.862395286560059,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:08:28.172635Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T08:08:28.172635Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:57:13.086722Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DRODAPRE","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DRODAPRE","question":"Will Delcy Rodriguez leave Acting President of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Delcy Rodriguez","description":"If Delcy Rodriguez has either officially announced their intention to leave as Acting President of Venezuela or has actually left Acting President of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-16T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":16352.42,"volume_24hr":359.45,"prob_24h_change":0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":359.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.823472023010254,"normalized_volume":27.408531188964844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR","question":"Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","description":"If Volodymyr Zelenskyy has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ukraine or has actually left President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":105460.65,"volume_24hr":585.07,"prob_24h_change":0.039999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":3773.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.197481155395508,"normalized_volume":38.951133728027344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:51.296754Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:51.296754Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MFREPMD","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MFREPMD","question":"Will Mette Frederiksen leave Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Mette Frederiksen","description":"If Mette Frederiksen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Denmark or has actually left Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":12852.1,"volume_24hr":123.97,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":-256.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.279041290283203,"normalized_volume":26.06461524963379,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T00:53:56.876068Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T00:52:30.855971Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LSILBRA","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LSILBRA","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leave President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","description":"If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Brazil or has actually left President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":40944.62,"volume_24hr":929.47,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-170.52999999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.591202735900879,"normalized_volume":32.839385986328125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:12:25.518055Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:12:25.518055Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.099,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS","question":"Will Vladimir Putin leave President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Vladimir Putin","description":"If Vladimir Putin has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Russia or has actually left President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":484488.11,"volume_24hr":1009.56,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-295.8900000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.945834159851074,"normalized_volume":49.89783477783203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:39:53.937648Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:38:27.963473Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.099,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AALSSYR","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AALSSYR","question":"Will Ahmad al-Sharaa leave President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Ahmad al-Sharaa","description":"If Ahmad al-Sharaa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Syria or has actually left President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":24253.44,"volume_24hr":1.78,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.326445996761322,"normalized_volume":29.680774688720703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Syria"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:38:22.570018Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:51:46.092649Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-STAKJAP","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-STAKJAP","question":"Will Sanae Takaichi leave Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Sanae Takaichi","description":"If Sanae Takaichi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Japan or has actually left Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.098,0.902],"probability":0.098,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":40471.82,"volume_24hr":6.29,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":3.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2322677373886108,"normalized_volume":32.76759719848633,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:38:22.570018Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:37:00.119590Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.099,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098,0.098]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GMELITA","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GMELITA","question":"Will Giorgia Meloni leave Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Giorgia Meloni","description":"If Giorgia Meloni has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Italy or has actually left Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.062,0.938],"probability":0.062,"spread":0.027999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":5858.46,"volume_24hr":7.25,"prob_24h_change":-0.0030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":7.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3905258178710938,"normalized_volume":21.9162540435791,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:08:28.172635Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T08:08:28.172635Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KJONDPRK","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KJONDPRK","question":"Will Kim Jong Un leave Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Kim Jong Un","description":"If Kim Jong Un has either officially announced their intention to leave as Supreme Leader of North Korea or has actually left Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.029,0.971],"probability":0.029,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":21433.49,"volume_24hr":2.04,"prob_24h_change":-0.019,"volume_24h_change":-128.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.38603320717811584,"normalized_volume":28.958524703979492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["North Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.029,0.029,0.029,0.029,0.029,0.029]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VORBHUN","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VORBHUN","question":"Will Viktor Orbán leave Prime Minister of Hungary before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Viktor Orbán","description":"If Viktor Orbán has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Hungary or has actually left Prime Minister of Hungary before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.998,0.0020000000000000018],"probability":0.998,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-09T17:53:54Z","volume":106704.88,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.03017044067383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Hungary"],"updated_at":"2026-05-10T17:55:14.893550Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-10T17:53:47.461571Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GPETCOL","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GPETCOL","question":"Will Gustavo Petro leave President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Gustavo Petro","description":"If Gustavo Petro has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Colombia or has actually left President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":174494.81,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-143.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.41659164428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Colombia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:38:22.570018Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:23:53.137589Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AKHAIRA","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AKHAIRA","question":"Will Ali Khamenei leave Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Ali Khamenei","description":"If Ali Khamenei has either officially announced their intention to leave as Supreme Leader of Iran or has actually left Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-01T03:17:48Z","volume":4486042.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":68.30681610107422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:44.084507Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:44.084507Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PLUXPMNZ","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PLUXPMNZ","question":"Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Christopher Luxon","description":"If Christopher Luxon has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-01T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":9990.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.695274353027344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PSANPM","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PSANPM","question":"Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Pedro Sánchez","description":"If Pedro Sánchez has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Spain or has actually left Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":28303.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.59565544128418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T12:43:24.876276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-19T18:19:23.198058Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JFNPMG","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JFNPMG","question":"Will Jens-Frederik Nielsen leave Prime Minister of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Jens-Frederik Nielsen","description":"If Mette Frederiksen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Denmark or has actually left Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":9255.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.287378311157227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FMERCGER","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FMERCGER","question":"Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Friedrich Merz","description":"If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-13T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":15725.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-106.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.188058853149414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:42:35.741288Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:42:35.741288Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-TRUEPDRC","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-TRUEPDRC","question":"Will Denis Sassou Nguesso leave President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Denis Sassou Nguesso","description":"If Denis Sassou Nguesso has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.023,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-13T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":957.78,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.724950790405273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Republic of the Congo"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CRAMSAFR","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CRAMSAFR","question":"Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Cyril Ramaphosa","description":"If Cyril Ramaphosa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Africa or has actually left President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":5525.47,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.621652603149414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:48:55.874148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:45.846429Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FTSHPDRC","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FTSHPDRC","question":"Will Félix Tshisekedi leave President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Félix Tshisekedi","description":"If Félix Tshisekedi has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.036000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-13T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":860.32,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.299713134765625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Democratic Republic of the Congo"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:38:27.963473Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:38:27.963473Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RPERBOL","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RPERBOL","question":"Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira leave President of Bolivia before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Rodrigo Paz Pereira","description":"If Rodrigo Paz Pereira has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Bolivia or has actually left President of Bolivia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":4090.8,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.139665603637695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DNOBECUA","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DNOBECUA","question":"Will Daniel Noboa leave President of Ecuador before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Daniel Noboa","description":"If Daniel Noboa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ecuador or has actually left President of Ecuador before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.096,0.904],"probability":0.096,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":1029.1,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-104.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.013314247131348,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ecuador"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRA","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRA","question":"Will Emmanuel Macron leave President of France before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Emmanuel Macron","description":"If Emmanuel Macron has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of France or has actually left President of France before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.072,0.928],"probability":0.072,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":61381.68,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.39109420776367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:45.846429Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:45.846429Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.072,0.072]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RERDTUR","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RERDTUR","question":"Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan leave President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Recep Tayyip Erdoğan","description":"If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Türkiye or has actually left President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.052,0.948],"probability":0.052,"spread":0.026000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":19044.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.276262283325195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Turkey"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NMODIND","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NMODIND","question":"Will Narendra Modi leave Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Narendra Modi","description":"If Narendra Modi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of India or has actually left Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.029000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":4172.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.234983444213867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:25:59.967353Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T02:38:30.686475Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CSHEPMEX","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CSHEPMEX","question":"Will Claudia Sheinbaum leave President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Claudia Sheinbaum","description":"If Claudia Sheinbaum has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Mexico or has actually left President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.042,0.958],"probability":0.042,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":144929.41,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-72.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.12178421020508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T05:34:26.574325Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:45.846429Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NBUKELSA","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NBUKELSA","question":"Will Nayib Bukele leave President of El Salvador before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Nayib Bukele","description":"If Nayib Bukele has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of El Salvador or has actually left President of El Salvador before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.041,0.959],"probability":0.041,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":5855.08,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.913339614868164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["El Salvador"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:50:00.423720Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:50:00.423720Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.041]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LJMKOR","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LJMKOR","question":"Will Lee Jae Myung leave President of South Korea before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Lee Jae Myung","description":"If Lee Jae Myung has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Korea or has actually left President of South Korea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.028999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-17T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":5654.93,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-78.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.738006591796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:49.691269Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MCARCAN","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MCARCAN","question":"Will Mark Carney leave Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Mark Carney","description":"If Mark Carney has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Canada or has actually left Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":11420.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-101.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.41826820373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:37:31.646170Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:37:31.646170Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JMILARG","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JMILARG","question":"Will Javier Milei leave President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Javier Milei","description":"If Javier Milei has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Argentina or has actually left President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.038,0.962],"probability":0.038,"spread":0.048999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":3989.84,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.018850326538086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Argentina"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:32:49.635009Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T08:17:42.389450Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.038,0.038]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-XJINCHI","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-XJINCHI","question":"Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Xi Jinping","description":"If Xi Jinping has either officially announced their intention to leave as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China or has actually left General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.034,0.966],"probability":0.034,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":646839.69,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.12533187866211,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T12:43:24.876276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-19T15:36:51.815616Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MBSSARA","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MBSSARA","question":"Will Mohammed bin Salman leave Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Mohammed bin Salman","description":"If Mohammed bin Salman has either officially announced their intention to leave as Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia or has actually left Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-11T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:48Z","volume":4542.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.650108337402344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:42:35.741288Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:42:35.741288Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-IALIPGUY","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-IALIPGUY","question":"Will Irfaan Ali leave President of Guyana before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Irfaan Ali","description":"If Irfaan Ali has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Guyana or has actually left President of Guyana before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.018,0.982],"probability":0.018,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":499.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.245363235473633,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Guyana"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FXKD","event_id":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","slug":"KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FXKD","question":"Will Frederik X leave King of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Frederik X","description":"If Frederik X has either officially announced their intention to leave as King of Denmark or has actually left King of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.030000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-02T03:17:49Z","volume":3775.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.753673553466797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:39:42.704755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleadersout/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/kxleadersout-27jan01","event_title":"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:04:00.463502Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which leaders will leave office in 2026?\" — top market at 97% probability across 38 outcomes","source_url":null}}