{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-27","ticker":"KXLEAVEOPEC-27","slug":"KXLEAVEOPEC-27","title":"Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-28T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17654.51,"volume_24hr":6.71,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.494208812713623,"normalized_volume":26.494709014892578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6356.08,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.14,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6.71,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T23:49:41.379937Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T23:49:41.379937Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleaveopec/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026/kxleaveopec-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-27","event_id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-27","slug":"KXLEAVEOPEC-27","question":"Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-28T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":17654.51,"volume_24hr":6.71,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":6.71,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7134875059127808,"normalized_volume":29.768077850341797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:48.134192Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T09:04:48.134192Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleaveopec/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026/kxleaveopec-27","event_title":"Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLEAVEOPEC-27","as_of":"2026-08-13T09:23:36.996428Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}