{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01","ticker":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01","slug":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01","title":"Will Venezuela exit OPEC?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:47.630047Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:47.630047Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:47.630047Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleaveopec/will-venezuela-exit-opec/kxleaveopec-28jan01","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01-27JAN01","event_id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01","slug":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01-27JAN01","question":"Will Venezuela agree to or announce an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later. Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents not confirmed by government sources\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T02:24:08.801066Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T02:24:08.801066Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:47.745324Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleaveopec/will-venezuela-exit-opec/kxleaveopec-28jan01","event_title":"Will Venezuela exit OPEC?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01-27JUL01","event_id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01","slug":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01-27JUL01","question":"Will Venezuela agree to or announce an OPEC exit before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later. Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents not confirmed by government sources\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T02:24:08.801066Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T02:24:08.801066Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:47.745324Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleaveopec/will-venezuela-exit-opec/kxleaveopec-28jan01","event_title":"Will Venezuela exit OPEC?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01-28JAN01","event_id":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01","slug":"KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01-28JAN01","question":"Will Venezuela agree to or announce an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later. Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents not confirmed by government sources\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T20:17:19.842619Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T20:17:19.842619Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T22:09:47.745324Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxleaveopec/will-venezuela-exit-opec/kxleaveopec-28jan01","event_title":"Will Venezuela exit OPEC?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLEAVEOPEC-28JAN01","as_of":"2026-09-05T08:55:27.617528Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Venezuela exit OPEC?\" — top market at 0% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}