{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","ticker":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","title":"Lebanese general election winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28364.08,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.489877700805664,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7151.95,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Election Postponed Beyond Expiration","top_outcome_probability":0.61,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T21:18:09.339801Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T21:18:09.339801Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-EPOS","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-EPOS","question":"Will the Election Postponed Beyond Expiration win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Election Postponed Beyond Expiration","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Election Postponed Beyond Expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nPostponed elections: Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-13T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":8220.78,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.148164749145508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:16.051277Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:16.051277Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-FORCES","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-FORCES","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Lebanese Forces","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Lebanese Forces, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nPostponed elections: Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":12050.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.980440139770508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-KATAEB","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-KATAEB","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Kataeb","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Kataeb, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a presidential or other direct election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:06:26.257321Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T13:02:48.843301Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-MARADE","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-MARADE","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Marada Movement","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Marada Movement, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a presidential or other direct election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:06:26.257321Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T13:02:48.843301Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-PSP","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-PSP","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"PSP","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is PSP, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a presidential or other direct election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:06:26.257321Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T13:02:48.843301Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-TASHNAG","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-TASHNAG","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Tashnag","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Tashnag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a presidential or other direct election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.041999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.3141045570373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T06:15:09.640231Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T04:45:56.782960Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-AMAL","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-AMAL","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Amal Movement","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Amal Movement, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nPostponed elections: Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.049,0.951],"probability":0.049,"spread":0.081,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":6574.3,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.112651824951172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.049,0.049,0.049,0.049]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-FPM","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-FPM","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"FPM","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is FPM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nPostponed elections: Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.084,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":230.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.708486080169678,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-IND","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-IND","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Independence Movement","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Independence Movement, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a presidential or other direct election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office. The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:06:26.257321Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T13:02:48.843301Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-HEZBOLLAH","event_id":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26","slug":"KXLEBANONPARLI-26-HEZBOLLAH","question":"Who will win the next Lebanese general election?","group_item_title":"Hezbollah","description":"If the winner of the next Lebanese general election is Hezbollah, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nPostponed elections: Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.052,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-11T03:59:00Z","volume":1282.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.331933975219727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:17:03.400581Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlebanonparli/lebanese-general-election-winner/kxlebanonparli-26","event_title":"Lebanese general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLEBANONPARLI-26","as_of":"2026-07-25T15:07:19.532606Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Lebanese general election winner?\" — top market at 61% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}