{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","ticker":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3431.3,"volume_24hr":3394.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.348901748657227,"normalized_volume":18.34776496887207,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3400.3,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 17","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T22:58:19.472257Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T22:58:19.472257Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.264353Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","chart_24h":[1723.0,2948.0,3173.0,3394.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A29","event_id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A29","question":"Will Likud win above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Above 29","description":"If Likud has won above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNote: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","volume":1437.0,"volume_24hr":1437.0,"prob_24h_change":0.23,"volume_24h_change":1437.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.029020309448242,"normalized_volume":16.457683563232422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T23:05:46.935124Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T22:58:19.644524Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","event_title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A32","event_id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A32","question":"Will Likud win above 32 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Above 32","description":"If Likud has won above 32 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNote: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","volume":1959.01,"volume_24hr":1957.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":1957.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.852375030517578,"normalized_volume":17.889514923095703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T23:05:46.935124Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T22:43:34.483947Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","event_title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A17","event_id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A17","question":"Will Likud win above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Above 17","description":"If Likud has won above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNote: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","volume":26.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.3815109729766846,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T03:11:00.181455Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T03:11:00.181455Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","event_title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","chart_24h":[0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A20","event_id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A20","question":"Will Likud win above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Above 20","description":"If Likud has won above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNote: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","volume":3.14,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.6283209919929504,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T18:57:48.509689Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T18:57:48.509689Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","event_title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A23","event_id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A23","question":"Will Likud win above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Above 23","description":"If Likud has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNote: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","volume":4.14,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.834266722202301,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T23:05:46.935124Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T22:58:19.644524Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","event_title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","chart_24h":[0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A35","event_id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A35","question":"Will Likud win above 35 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Above 35","description":"If Likud has won above 35 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNote: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","volume":2.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.3780030906200409,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T22:19:31.749126Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T22:19:31.749126Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","event_title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A26","event_id":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","slug":"KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A26","question":"Will Likud win above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Above 26","description":"If Likud has won above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNote: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:22:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T11:47:26.261304Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T11:47:26.261304Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlikudcount/israeli-legislative-election-how-many-seats-will-likud-win/kxlikudcount-26oct27","event_title":"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27","as_of":"2026-08-14T23:17:55.809117Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?\" — top market at 18% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}