{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5848575.21,"volume_24hr":18778.9,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.60271453857422,"normalized_volume":61.497962951660156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3807258.98,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Claude","top_outcome_probability":0.66,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02200000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1566.5600000000004,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:54.748253Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:54.748253Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","chart_24h":[19218.649999999998,19081.21,19442.02,19293.3,19865.28,19224.27,16582.28,15437.99,15099.710000000001,16077.46,16242.57,15573.15,16948.26,17803.56,17948.45,18816.65,19970.829999999998,20738.260000000002,20380.23,22578.56,22382.010000000002,20760.579999999998,20878.079999999998,21222.23,20914.37,21381.48,21053.9,20346.22,20673.079999999998,20587.97,20612.99,20611.99,20590.18,20171.33,20233.43,19129.43,18997.89],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-A","event_id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-A","question":"Best AI in Dec 2026?","group_item_title":"Claude","description":"If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.007000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":1490278.02,"volume_24hr":6475.75,"prob_24h_change":0.02200000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1566.5600000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.05010986328125,"normalized_volume":58.83118438720703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:50:02.578334Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:50:02.578334Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","event_title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.638,0.641,0.631,0.64,0.631,0.636,0.646,0.646,0.641,0.642,0.64,0.643,0.641,0.639,0.639,0.647,0.646,0.644,0.646,0.648,0.648,0.649,0.648,0.648,0.649,0.652,0.66,0.66,0.655,0.655,0.656,0.656,0.656,0.656,0.659,0.659,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-GOOG","event_id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-GOOG","question":"Best AI in Dec 2026?","group_item_title":"Gemini","description":"If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.0030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":1013365.23,"volume_24hr":3630.64,"prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":-72.78999999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.98373794555664,"normalized_volume":55.68192672729492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:38:22.570018Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:23:56.749477Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","event_title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.131,0.132,0.131,0.134,0.134,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.132,0.134,0.133,0.134,0.135,0.133,0.134,0.134,0.132,0.131,0.134,0.133,0.133,0.132,0.134,0.135,0.135,0.134,0.131,0.131,0.134,0.132,0.132,0.132,0.135,0.135,0.135]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI","event_id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI","question":"Best AI in Dec 2026?","group_item_title":"ChatGPT","description":"If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.123,0.877],"probability":0.123,"spread":0.006999999999999992,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":1170922.41,"volume_24hr":2107.27,"prob_24h_change":-0.007000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":-354.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.291973114013672,"normalized_volume":56.85179138183594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:54.885436Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:54.885436Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","event_title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.122,0.128,0.125,0.13,0.13,0.127,0.123,0.124,0.121,0.131,0.131,0.131,0.121,0.12,0.111,0.111,0.114,0.114,0.117,0.126,0.126,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.126,0.12,0.125,0.125,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-XAI","event_id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-XAI","question":"Best AI in Dec 2026?","group_item_title":"Grok","description":"If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.002999999999999989,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":836754.61,"volume_24hr":5935.77,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":499.4200000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.772319793701172,"normalized_volume":54.15044021606445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:54.885436Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:54.885436Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","event_title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.086,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.085,0.087,0.087,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.088,0.062,0.065,0.065,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-META","event_id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-META","question":"Best AI in Dec 2026?","group_item_title":"Muse Spark","description":"If Meta has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.023,0.977],"probability":0.023,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":623055.13,"volume_24hr":606.47,"prob_24h_change":0.002999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":498.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.827675819396973,"normalized_volume":51.833839416503906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T04:16:53.436160Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T04:15:36.791388Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","event_title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.022,0.022,0.022,0.022,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023,0.023]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-ALI","event_id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-ALI","question":"Best AI in Dec 2026?","group_item_title":"Qwen","description":"If Alibaba has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":400334.32,"volume_24hr":21.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.002,"volume_24h_change":-464.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9835708141326904,"normalized_volume":48.45396423339844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:32:49.635009Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:31:30.118994Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","event_title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.013,0.013,0.013,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-BAID","event_id":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","slug":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-BAID","question":"Best AI in Dec 2026?","group_item_title":"Ernie","description":"If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","volume":313865.49,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1893.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.3768905997276306,"normalized_volume":46.64322280883789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:32:49.635009Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:31:30.118994Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllm1-26dec31","event_title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLLM1-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:03:36.363668Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Best AI at the end of 2026?\" — top market at 66% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}