{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO","as_of":"2026-10-13T07:32:59.866839Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026\" — \"Xiaomi\" leads at 55% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllmh2h/alibaba-vs-xiaomi-highest-arena-score-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllmh2h-26dec31alibxiao"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO","ticker":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO","slug":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO","title":"Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.52,"volume_24hr":3.52,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.632136344909668,"normalized_volume":0.6118910312652588,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3.52,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"26DEC31ALIBXIAO","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xiaomi","top_outcome_probability":0.55,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.55,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.76,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T07:25:03.313814Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T07:25:03.313814Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:05:55.114189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllmh2h/alibaba-vs-xiaomi-highest-arena-score-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllmh2h-26dec31alibxiao","chart_24h":[0.0,3.52],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO-XIAO","event_id":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO","slug":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO-XIAO","question":"Will Xiaomi have a higher Arena Score than Alibaba at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"If Xiaomi's top model has a higher Arena Score than Alibaba's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach company's top model is its highest-ranked model in the Overall category of the leaderboard, with style control removed (Adjustments: None). A model belongs to the company the leaderboard lists as its organization. Preliminary models count.\n\nIf the two top models show the same Arena Score, the one ranked higher on the leaderboard wins.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1.76,"volume_24hr":1.76,"prob_24h_change":0.55,"volume_24h_change":1.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.32393649220466614,"normalized_volume":0.3208550214767456,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T07:25:04.528660Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T07:25:04.528660Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:05:55.334519Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllmh2h/alibaba-vs-xiaomi-highest-arena-score-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllmh2h-26dec31alibxiao","event_title":"Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO-ALIB","event_id":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO","slug":"KXLLMH2H-26DEC31ALIBXIAO-ALIB","question":"Will Alibaba have a higher Arena Score than Xiaomi at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"If Alibaba's top model has a higher Arena Score than Xiaomi's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach company's top model is its highest-ranked model in the Overall category of the leaderboard, with style control removed (Adjustments: None). A model belongs to the company the leaderboard lists as its organization. Preliminary models count.\n\nIf the two top models show the same Arena Score, the one ranked higher on the leaderboard wins.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1.76,"volume_24hr":1.76,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":1.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.32393649220466614,"normalized_volume":0.3208550214767456,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T07:25:04.528660Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T07:25:04.528660Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:05:55.334519Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllmh2h/alibaba-vs-xiaomi-highest-arena-score-at-the-end-of-2026/kxllmh2h-26dec31alibxiao","event_title":"Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45]}]}