{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","as_of":"2026-10-10T13:36:55.833236Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?\" — 9 markets; highest \"16 or more\" at 0% as of 2026-10-01 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","ticker":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"16 or more","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.061515Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.061515Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.061515Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-16","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-16","question":"Will at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"16 or more","description":"If at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-20","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-20","question":"Will at least 20 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"20 or more","description":"If at least 20 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-24","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-24","question":"Will at least 24 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"24 or more","description":"If at least 24 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-28","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-28","question":"Will at least 28 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"28 or more","description":"If at least 28 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-32","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-32","question":"Will at least 32 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"32 or more","description":"If at least 32 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-36","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-36","question":"Will at least 36 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"36 or more","description":"If at least 36 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-40","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-40","question":"Will at least 40 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"40 or more","description":"If at least 40 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T20:40:39.583786Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T20:40:39.583786Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-44","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-44","question":"Will at least 44 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"44 or more","description":"If at least 44 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-48","event_id":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026","slug":"KXLOSEREELECTIONRHOUSE-2026-48","question":"Will at least 48 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?","group_item_title":"48 or more","description":"If at least 48 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMembers count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.\n\nLosses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T09:13:58.733356Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T18:09:57.257822Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlosereelectionrhouse/how-many-house-republicans-will-lose-reelection-in-2026/kxlosereelectionrhouse-2026","event_title":"How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}