{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","ticker":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","slug":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1328.8500000000001,"volume_24hr":1328.8500000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.942569732666016,"normalized_volume":14.001143455505371,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1187.8500000000001,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"78° to 79°","top_outcome_probability":0.37,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.37,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":317.62,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T20:35:13.920825Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T20:35:13.920825Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:00:55.983216Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtmia/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-jul-11-2026/kxlowtmia-26jul11","chart_24h":[436.48,732.5600000000001,868.57,880.57,886.57,936.24,947.24,973.24,1088.8500000000001,1196.8500000000001,1328.8500000000001],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B78.5","event_id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","slug":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B78.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 78-79° on Jul 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"78° to 79°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 11, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T05:00:00Z","volume":317.62,"volume_24hr":317.62,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":317.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.032064437866211,"normalized_volume":9.318081855773926,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T21:38:56.185626Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T21:38:56.185626Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:00:56.108620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtmia/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-jul-11-2026/kxlowtmia-26jul11","event_title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B80.5","event_id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","slug":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B80.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 80-81° on Jul 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"80° to 81°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 11, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T05:00:00Z","volume":310.18,"volume_24hr":310.18,"prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":170.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.941805839538574,"normalized_volume":9.241846084594727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T21:38:56.185626Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T21:38:56.185626Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:00:56.108620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtmia/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-jul-11-2026/kxlowtmia-26jul11","event_title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B82.5","event_id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","slug":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B82.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 82-83° on Jul 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"82° to 83°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 11, 2026, is between 82-83° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T05:00:00Z","volume":353.97,"volume_24hr":353.97,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":183.67000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.44948673248291,"normalized_volume":9.67065143585205,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T21:51:56.651029Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T21:51:56.651029Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:00:56.108620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtmia/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-jul-11-2026/kxlowtmia-26jul11","event_title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-T76","event_id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","slug":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-T76","question":"Will the minimum temperature be <76° on Jul 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"75° or below","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 11, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T05:00:00Z","volume":31.08,"volume_24hr":31.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":30.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9941601753234863,"normalized_volume":3.373612403869629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T21:38:56.185626Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T21:38:56.185626Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:00:56.108620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtmia/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-jul-11-2026/kxlowtmia-26jul11","event_title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-T83","event_id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","slug":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-T83","question":"Will the minimum temperature be >83° on Jul 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"84° or above","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 11, 2026, is greater than 83° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T05:00:00Z","volume":316.0,"volume_24hr":316.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":191.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.012560844421387,"normalized_volume":9.30160903930664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T20:47:46.261578Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T20:47:46.261578Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:00:56.108620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtmia/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-jul-11-2026/kxlowtmia-26jul11","event_title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B76.5","event_id":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","slug":"KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11-B76.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 76-77° on Jul 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"76° to 77°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 11, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-12T05:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T20:35:14.045662Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T20:35:14.045662Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T14:00:56.108620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtmia/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-jul-11-2026/kxlowtmia-26jul11","event_title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLOWTMIA-26JUL11","as_of":"2026-07-10T21:52:36.737307Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 11, 2026?\" — top market at 13% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}