{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","ticker":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","slug":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","title":"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3347.46,"volume_24hr":3139.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.256731033325195,"normalized_volume":17.826923370361328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3249.06,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"79° to 80°","top_outcome_probability":0.68,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.45000000000000007,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":381.83,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:21.350783Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:21.350783Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:09.337179Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtnyc/lowest-temperature-in-new-york-city-on-jul-15-2026/kxlowtnyc-26jul15","chart_24h":[76.0,310.51,671.0,681.0,688.0,688.76,691.76,724.2,725.2,757.2,918.21,2616.21,2809.21,2892.21,2904.21,3139.42],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B79.5","event_id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","slug":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B79.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"79° to 80°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 15, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Central Park NY\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:00:00Z","volume":610.84,"volume_24hr":410.83,"prob_24h_change":0.45000000000000007,"volume_24h_change":381.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.783578872680664,"normalized_volume":11.547053337097168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:22:26.065323Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:21.473253Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:09.539717Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtnyc/lowest-temperature-in-new-york-city-on-jul-15-2026/kxlowtnyc-26jul15","event_title":"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.68]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B77.5","event_id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","slug":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B77.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 77-78° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"77° to 78°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 15, 2026, is between 77-78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Central Park NY\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:00:00Z","volume":208.93,"volume_24hr":205.93,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":185.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.459099769592285,"normalized_volume":8.017932891845703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:22:26.065323Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:21.473253Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:09.539717Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtnyc/lowest-temperature-in-new-york-city-on-jul-15-2026/kxlowtnyc-26jul15","event_title":"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-T80","event_id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","slug":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-T80","question":"Will the minimum temperature be >80° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"81° or above","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 15, 2026, is greater than 80° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Central Park NY\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:00:00Z","volume":572.29,"volume_24hr":567.26,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":540.26,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.967781066894531,"normalized_volume":11.314008712768555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T23:22:12.721283Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T23:21:21.473253Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:09.539717Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtnyc/lowest-temperature-in-new-york-city-on-jul-15-2026/kxlowtnyc-26jul15","event_title":"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.31,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B75.5","event_id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","slug":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B75.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 75-76° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"75° to 76°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 15, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Central Park NY\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:00:00Z","volume":568.4,"volume_24hr":568.4,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":568.4,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.975345611572266,"normalized_volume":11.289765357971191,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:26:33.202181Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:26:33.202181Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:09.539717Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtnyc/lowest-temperature-in-new-york-city-on-jul-15-2026/kxlowtnyc-26jul15","event_title":"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B73.5","event_id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","slug":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-B73.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 73-74° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"73° to 74°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 15, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Central Park NY\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:00:00Z","volume":841.0,"volume_24hr":841.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":841.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.497633934020996,"normalized_volume":12.72490406036377,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T22:26:33.202181Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T22:26:33.202181Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:09.539717Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtnyc/lowest-temperature-in-new-york-city-on-jul-15-2026/kxlowtnyc-26jul15","event_title":"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-T73","event_id":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","slug":"KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15-T73","question":"Will the minimum temperature be <73° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"72° or below","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 15, 2026, is less than 73° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLINYC can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Central Park NY\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:00:00Z","volume":546.0,"volume_24hr":546.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":546.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.824317932128906,"normalized_volume":11.147383689880371,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T20:25:54.566210Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T20:24:49.139402Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:09.539717Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtnyc/lowest-temperature-in-new-york-city-on-jul-15-2026/kxlowtnyc-26jul15","event_title":"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLOWTNYC-26JUL15","as_of":"2026-07-14T23:29:47.442632Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 15, 2026?\" — top market at 1% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}