{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","ticker":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","slug":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1247.59,"volume_24hr":1247.59,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.988112449645996,"normalized_volume":14.416817665100098,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1235.59,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"56° to 57°","top_outcome_probability":0.77,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.18000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":128.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-04T21:36:25.417839Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T21:36:25.417839Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T14:09:29.489203Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtsfo/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-jul-5-2026/kxlowtsfo-26jul05","chart_24h":[394.0,511.0,544.0,652.1,652.1,1078.1,1093.1,1118.1,1206.59,1247.59],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B56.5","event_id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","slug":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B56.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Jul 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"56° to 57°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 5, 2026, is between 56-57° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T08:00:00Z","volume":145.0,"volume_24hr":145.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":128.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.641085147857666,"normalized_volume":7.345491409301758,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T21:49:21.484916Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T21:49:21.484916Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T14:09:29.670853Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtsfo/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-jul-5-2026/kxlowtsfo-26jul05","event_title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.59,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B54.5","event_id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","slug":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B54.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Jul 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"54° to 55°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 5, 2026, is between 54-55° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T08:00:00Z","volume":343.09,"volume_24hr":343.09,"prob_24h_change":-0.12999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":223.08999999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.496089935302734,"normalized_volume":10.090051651000977,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T22:02:19.493396Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T22:02:19.493396Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T14:09:29.670853Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtsfo/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-jul-5-2026/kxlowtsfo-26jul05","event_title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.35,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B52.5","event_id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","slug":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B52.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Jul 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"52° to 53°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 5, 2026, is between 52-53° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T08:00:00Z","volume":29.5,"volume_24hr":29.5,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":21.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.593703031539917,"normalized_volume":3.454681396484375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T22:02:19.493396Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T22:02:19.493396Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T14:09:29.670853Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtsfo/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-jul-5-2026/kxlowtsfo-26jul05","event_title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-T50","event_id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","slug":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-T50","question":"Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Jul 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"49° or below","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 5, 2026, is less than 50° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T08:00:00Z","volume":239.0,"volume_24hr":239.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":219.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.241232872009277,"normalized_volume":8.883737564086914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T21:49:21.484916Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T21:49:21.484916Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T14:09:29.670853Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtsfo/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-jul-5-2026/kxlowtsfo-26jul05","event_title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-T57","event_id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","slug":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-T57","question":"Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Jul 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"58° or above","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 5, 2026, is greater than 57° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T08:00:00Z","volume":230.0,"volume_24hr":230.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":9.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.112788200378418,"normalized_volume":8.760262489318848,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T21:49:21.484916Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T21:49:21.484916Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T14:09:29.670853Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtsfo/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-jul-5-2026/kxlowtsfo-26jul05","event_title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B50.5","event_id":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","slug":"KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05-B50.5","question":"Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Jul 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"50° to 51°","description":"If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 5, 2026, is between 50-51° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T08:00:00Z","volume":261.0,"volume_24hr":261.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":253.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.5393705368042,"normalized_volume":9.170342445373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T22:02:19.493396Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T22:02:19.493396Z","added_at":"2026-07-04T14:09:29.670853Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlowtsfo/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-jul-5-2026/kxlowtsfo-26jul05","event_title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLOWTSFO-26JUL05","as_of":"2026-07-04T22:12:30.056797Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 5, 2026?\" — top market at 17% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}