{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL","ticker":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL","title":"Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T21:28:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1364.03,"volume_24hr":1268.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.723255157470703,"normalized_volume":11.644798278808594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":226.01,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Nov 1, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.81,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999907,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-27.01,"updated_at":"2026-07-29T00:11:47.897483Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T00:11:47.897483Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T21:31:30.318488Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlukeout/sylvia-luke-out-as-lieutenant-governor-of-hawaii/kxlukeout-26jul","chart_24h":[226.03,271.03000000000003,640.03,690.03,1125.03,1225.03,1363.03,1276.02,1268.02],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL-26NOV01","event_id":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL-26NOV01","question":"Will Sylvia Luke be out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Nov 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 1, 2026","description":"If Sylvia Luke leaves as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSylvia Luke must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T21:28:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T04:59:00Z","volume":35.01,"volume_24hr":4.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999907,"volume_24h_change":-27.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0161765813827515,"normalized_volume":3.3425049781799316,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T00:13:39.117446Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T00:11:48.495891Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T21:31:30.549921Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlukeout/sylvia-luke-out-as-lieutenant-governor-of-hawaii/kxlukeout-26jul","event_title":"Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL-26SEP01","event_id":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXLUKEOUT-26JUL-26SEP01","question":"Will Sylvia Luke be out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Sylvia Luke leaves as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nSylvia Luke must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T21:28:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1329.02,"volume_24hr":1264.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":1069.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.015338897705078,"normalized_volume":13.464781761169434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T00:56:23.160874Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T23:24:26.906860Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T21:31:30.549921Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlukeout/sylvia-luke-out-as-lieutenant-governor-of-hawaii/kxlukeout-26jul","event_title":"Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?","chart_24h":[0.67,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLUKEOUT-26JUL","as_of":"2026-07-29T00:57:52.231558Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?\" — top market at 61% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}