{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUTNICKOUT","ticker":"KXLUTNICKOUT","slug":"KXLUTNICKOUT","title":"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":126004.35999999999,"volume_24hr":7385.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.706838607788086,"normalized_volume":37.58564758300781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":69158.72,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before May 1, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.03,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-01T04:03:18.935098Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T04:03:18.935098Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlutnickout/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/kxlutnickout","chart_24h":[0.0,16.0,16.0,7385.0,7385.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26SEP01","event_id":"KXLUTNICKOUT","slug":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26SEP01","question":"Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before September?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHoward Lutnick must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. \n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":82383.59,"volume_24hr":7385.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.001,"volume_24h_change":7375.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.755699157714844,"normalized_volume":39.884788513183594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T04:03:18.941243Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T04:03:18.941243Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlutnickout/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/kxlutnickout","event_title":"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26MAY01","event_id":"KXLUTNICKOUT","slug":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26MAY01","question":"Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before May?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2026","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHoward Lutnick must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. \n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","volume":111227.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.028358459472656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:37.483399Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:37.483399Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlutnickout/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/kxlutnickout","event_title":"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26APR01","event_id":"KXLUTNICKOUT","slug":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26APR01","question":"Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before April?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2026","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHoward Lutnick must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. \n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":44280.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.62950897216797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:37.483399Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:37.483399Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlutnickout/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/kxlutnickout","event_title":"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26MAR01","event_id":"KXLUTNICKOUT","slug":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26MAR01","question":"Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before March?","group_item_title":"Before Mar 1, 2026","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHoward Lutnick must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. \n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-03-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-01T04:59:00Z","volume":10944.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.92804718017578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:37.483399Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:37.483399Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlutnickout/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/kxlutnickout","event_title":"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26JUN01","event_id":"KXLUTNICKOUT","slug":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26JUN01","question":"Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jun 1, 2026","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHoward Lutnick must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. \n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":34400.64,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.96782684326172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T04:04:32.292789Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T14:40:59.884623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlutnickout/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/kxlutnickout","event_title":"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26JUL01","event_id":"KXLUTNICKOUT","slug":"KXLUTNICKOUT-26JUL01","question":"Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHoward Lutnick must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. \n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":43620.77,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.52967071533203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T04:00:16.726265Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T03:58:46.263962Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlutnickout/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/kxlutnickout","event_title":"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLUTNICKOUT","as_of":"2026-09-01T04:46:00.015458Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?\" — top market at 0% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}