{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG","ticker":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG","title":"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:41:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4122.09,"volume_24hr":4122.09,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.12537384033203,"normalized_volume":19.075305938720703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3214.87,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Nov 7, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.64,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":781.85,"updated_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:33.824084Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:33.824084Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:57.191758Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxluxonout/will-christopher-luxon-announce-their-departure-as-prime-minister/kxluxonout-26aug","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,2.0,6.0,72.0,81.85,91.85,111.85,297.85,1505.85,3805.85,3855.85,3980.66,4122.09],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG-26NOV07","event_id":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG-26NOV07","question":"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 7, 2026","description":"If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:41:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":781.85,"volume_24hr":781.85,"prob_24h_change":0.64,"volume_24h_change":781.85,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.60443878173828,"normalized_volume":13.820104598999023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T19:44:46.556842Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T19:41:39.148651Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:57.298930Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxluxonout/will-christopher-luxon-announce-their-departure-as-prime-minister/kxluxonout-26aug","event_title":"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.74,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG-26OCT01","event_id":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG-26OCT01","question":"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:41:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1145.0,"volume_24hr":1145.0,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":1145.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.793487548828125,"normalized_volume":15.44621753692627,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T18:43:26.200112Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T18:40:56.940218Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:57.298930Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxluxonout/will-christopher-luxon-announce-their-departure-as-prime-minister/kxluxonout-26aug","event_title":"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG-26SEP01","event_id":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXLUXONOUT-26AUG-26SEP01","question":"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T00:41:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2195.24,"volume_24hr":2195.24,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":2195.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.811079025268555,"normalized_volume":18.430641174316406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T21:45:23.183919Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T21:45:23.183919Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T00:42:57.298930Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxluxonout/will-christopher-luxon-announce-their-departure-as-prime-minister/kxluxonout-26aug","event_title":"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.16]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXLUXONOUT-26AUG","as_of":"2026-08-11T22:15:43.469541Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?\" — top market at 16% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}