{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","ticker":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","slug":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","title":"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T15:56:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6768.64,"volume_24hr":4526.3,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.171754837036133,"normalized_volume":17.714191436767578,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3437.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Reform UK","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":261.96000000000004,"updated_at":"2026-07-18T22:09:45.502553Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T22:09:45.502553Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:11:47.475436Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanchester2nd/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-2nd-place/kxmanchester2nd-manchestermayor26jul30-2","chart_24h":[3.34,4236.68,4520.68,4522.3,4526.3],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-RUK","event_id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","slug":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-RUK","question":"Will Reform UK finish 2nd in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?","group_item_title":"Reform UK","description":"If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T15:56:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":616.64,"volume_24hr":343.3,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":261.96000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.269537925720215,"normalized_volume":11.899683952331543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-19T00:32:08.695169Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T00:32:08.695169Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:11:47.651089Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanchester2nd/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-2nd-place/kxmanchester2nd-manchestermayor26jul30-2","event_title":"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-GRE","event_id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","slug":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-GRE","question":"Will Green Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?","group_item_title":"Green Party","description":"If Green Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T15:56:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":1300.0,"volume_24hr":1035.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":1035.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.508075714111328,"normalized_volume":14.818787574768066,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T22:12:35.726330Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T22:09:45.747680Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:11:47.651089Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanchester2nd/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-2nd-place/kxmanchester2nd-manchestermayor26jul30-2","event_title":"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-LAB","event_id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","slug":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-LAB","question":"Will Labour Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?","group_item_title":"Labour Party","description":"If Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T15:56:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":1238.0,"volume_24hr":851.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":851.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.702414512634277,"normalized_volume":14.617664337158203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T20:45:45.876185Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T20:42:52.819253Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:11:47.651089Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanchester2nd/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-2nd-place/kxmanchester2nd-manchestermayor26jul30-2","event_title":"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-LDEM","event_id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","slug":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-LDEM","question":"Will Liberal Democrat finish 2nd in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?","group_item_title":"Liberal Democrat","description":"If Liberal Democrat finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T15:56:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":1253.0,"volume_24hr":1016.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1016.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.43082332611084,"normalized_volume":14.66710376739502,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T18:46:30.103029Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T15:06:59.268363Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:11:47.651089Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanchester2nd/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-2nd-place/kxmanchester2nd-manchestermayor26jul30-2","event_title":"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-CON","event_id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","slug":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-CON","question":"Will Conservative Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?","group_item_title":"Conservative Party","description":"If Conservative Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T15:56:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":2361.0,"volume_24hr":1281.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.02,"volume_24h_change":1281.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.412116050720215,"normalized_volume":17.386127471923828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T20:45:45.876185Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T20:42:52.819253Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T16:11:47.651089Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanchester2nd/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-2nd-place/kxmanchester2nd-manchestermayor26jul30-2","event_title":"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-RES","event_id":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","slug":"KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2-RES","question":"Will Restore Britain finish 2nd in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?","group_item_title":"Restore Britain","description":"If Restore Britain finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T23:37:54.540211Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T22:10:18.249173Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T19:00:31.824494Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanchester2nd/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-2nd-place/kxmanchester2nd-manchestermayor26jul30-2","event_title":"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMANCHESTER2ND-MANCHESTERMAYOR26JUL30-2","as_of":"2026-07-19T01:29:47.637204Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place\" — top market at 2% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}