{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31","as_of":"2026-10-26T23:27:05.097012Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Manhattan's Q4 2026 office vacancy rate be below 18%?\" — 54% as of 2026-10-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanoffvac/will-manhattans-q4-2026-office-vacancy-rate-be-below-18/kxmanoffvac-27jan31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31","ticker":"KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31","slug":"KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31","title":"Will Manhattan's Q4 2026 office vacancy rate be below 18%?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1475.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.25270938873291,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":500.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below 18.0%","top_outcome_probability":0.54,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T16:01:43.996476Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T16:01:43.996476Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:01:54.964084Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanoffvac/will-manhattans-q4-2026-office-vacancy-rate-be-below-18/kxmanoffvac-27jan31","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31-T18.0","event_id":"KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31","slug":"KXMANOFFVAC-27JAN31-T18.0","question":"Will Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 be below 18.0%?","group_item_title":"Below 18.0%","description":"If Cushman & Wakefield reports that Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 is below \n\n18.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the Manhattan overall vacancy rate reported in Cushman & Wakefield’s Q4 2026 Manhattan Office MarketBeat, covering the overall Manhattan office market. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.\n\nFor reference, the same metric was 21.1% in Q4 2025, 19.9% in Q1 2026, and 19.3% in Q2 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1475.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.57596778869629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T16:01:44.175308Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T16:01:44.175308Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:01:55.136738Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanoffvac/will-manhattans-q4-2026-office-vacancy-rate-be-below-18/kxmanoffvac-27jan31","event_title":"Will Manhattan's Q4 2026 office vacancy rate be below 18%?","chart_24h":null}]}