{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26","ticker":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26","title":"MA-04 Democratic nominee?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38411.55,"volume_24hr":1.12,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.20089569687843323,"normalized_volume":24.899829864501953,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10078.51,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jake Auchincloss","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.12,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:12:25.498167Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:12:25.498167Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.435464Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmaprimary/ma-04-democratic-nominee/kxmaprimary-04d26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26-JAUC","event_id":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26-JAUC","question":"Will Jake Auchincloss be the Democratic nominee for MA-04?","group_item_title":"Jake Auchincloss","description":"If Jake Auchincloss wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":8080.73,"volume_24hr":1.12,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":1.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.21573586761951447,"normalized_volume":21.067628860473633,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T15:14:02.673424Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T15:12:25.646469Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmaprimary/ma-04-democratic-nominee/kxmaprimary-04d26","event_title":"MA-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.87,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26-JPOU","event_id":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26-JPOU","question":"Will Jason Poulos be the Democratic nominee for MA-04?","group_item_title":"Jason Poulos","description":"If Jason Poulos wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":18666.82,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.170677185058594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:16:22.722320Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:16:22.722320Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmaprimary/ma-04-democratic-nominee/kxmaprimary-04d26","event_title":"MA-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26-CBOY","event_id":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMAPRIMARY-04D26-CBOY","question":"Will Chris Boyd be the Democratic nominee for MA-04?","group_item_title":"Chris Boyd","description":"If Chris Boyd wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":11664.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.82130241394043,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:43:51.380849Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T14:51:29.331614Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmaprimary/ma-04-democratic-nominee/kxmaprimary-04d26","event_title":"MA-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMAPRIMARY-04D26","as_of":"2026-07-25T16:04:12.362685Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MA-04 Democratic nominee?\" — top market at 88% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}